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tcriv 28 points ago +29 / -1

predictit is like a futures market for geopolitical outcomes

it functions like just like the financial markets.

at the very least, it's fun to participate with spare change.

check the comments on particular markets and you'll quickly realize the vast majority of users are leftists who couldnt properly assess probability (or reality) to save their lives.

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deleted 5 points ago +6 / -1
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UpTrump 2 points ago +3 / -1

Not really. It's easy enough... for example, Florida published extensive early voting stats and Trump had a big lead over his early voting in 2016. So I put $300 on FL and won almost $600. The leftists in the comments were in disbelief.

Don't be stupid and blinded by partisanship and you should be fine.

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deleted 2 points ago +2 / -0
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UpTrump 3 points ago +3 / -0

You can sell whenever you'd like. For example, in my Florida bet I sold at 99c instead of $1, which they pay when they close the market. I didn't want to wait.

I could've sold it anytime though, even at 50 or 60 cents

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deleted 1 point ago +2 / -1