If you look at the data for Philadelphia and the 4th alone, then there are only 4 times when the system is actually updated with new data. Inbetween the data stays the same for every polling location. Therefore all these rows inbetween can actually be deleted.
But if you have only 4 updates, then it is logical that the ratios "transfer" during these updates.
Pls go and verify this yourself. Heres the amount of polling places reporting actual updates per each timestamp:
9:39:44 -> 1685
15:11:18 -> 1695
20:02:30 -> 189
20:47:22 ->1677
Again, for all other timestamps there was no actual change for no polling location.
No, it is not more "logical" that the ratios transfer between closely time-related updates, it's less. In fact that's the whole crux of his argument: you'd expect to see matches, but later or earlier, during other time intervals. It's precisely the fact that they're temporally adjacent that's the sign of fuckery.
There are only 4 intervalls where actual updates happen. All timestamps inbetween show absolutely no change. Therefore these timestamps can actually be deleted.
These so called "transfers" are just the updates, it is logical that then the ratios switch and some other polling place reports the same ratios as another one did before.
As an example take the ratio 1:5:
At 07:08:18 the first update comes in and polling place 05-30 has this ratio.
At the first update, at 9:39:44, 05-30 changes to a 43:219. This is as expected that with new votes there is a new ratio.
With the same update, four new polling places have the 1:5 ratio: 01-05, 05-13, 05-24 and 19-02. Again, this is as expected, as with every update the ratios should change for every polling station.
Next update is at 15:11:18, and the four polling places which had the 1:5 ratios, all have new ratios. On the other hand, location 25-16 and 36-29 newly have the 1:5 ratio.
Next update is 20:02:30, but nothing changes for this ratio. However, for this update, only very few locations reported actual updates. Therefore no new locations with a 1:5 ratio is entirely possible.
the last update on the 4th is at 20:47:22. Here again the two places which had previously the 1:5 ratios switch to a new ratio, but 48-18 newly has this ratio.
This is all entirely plausible, as with every update and new votes the ratios change for the polling places. This means, that at every update different polling places will have a certain ratio.
On the other hand, if with new votes the ratios would stay constant, that would be VERY suspicious.
This might be misleading.
If you look at the data for Philadelphia and the 4th alone, then there are only 4 times when the system is actually updated with new data. Inbetween the data stays the same for every polling location. Therefore all these rows inbetween can actually be deleted.
But if you have only 4 updates, then it is logical that the ratios "transfer" during these updates.
Pls go and verify this yourself. Heres the amount of polling places reporting actual updates per each timestamp:
9:39:44 -> 1685
15:11:18 -> 1695
20:02:30 -> 189
20:47:22 ->1677
Again, for all other timestamps there was no actual change for no polling location.
No, it is not more "logical" that the ratios transfer between closely time-related updates, it's less. In fact that's the whole crux of his argument: you'd expect to see matches, but later or earlier, during other time intervals. It's precisely the fact that they're temporally adjacent that's the sign of fuckery.
There are only 4 intervalls where actual updates happen. All timestamps inbetween show absolutely no change. Therefore these timestamps can actually be deleted. These so called "transfers" are just the updates, it is logical that then the ratios switch and some other polling place reports the same ratios as another one did before.
As an example take the ratio 1:5:
At 07:08:18 the first update comes in and polling place 05-30 has this ratio. At the first update, at 9:39:44, 05-30 changes to a 43:219. This is as expected that with new votes there is a new ratio. With the same update, four new polling places have the 1:5 ratio: 01-05, 05-13, 05-24 and 19-02. Again, this is as expected, as with every update the ratios should change for every polling station.
Next update is at 15:11:18, and the four polling places which had the 1:5 ratios, all have new ratios. On the other hand, location 25-16 and 36-29 newly have the 1:5 ratio.
Next update is 20:02:30, but nothing changes for this ratio. However, for this update, only very few locations reported actual updates. Therefore no new locations with a 1:5 ratio is entirely possible.
the last update on the 4th is at 20:47:22. Here again the two places which had previously the 1:5 ratios switch to a new ratio, but 48-18 newly has this ratio.
This is all entirely plausible, as with every update and new votes the ratios change for the polling places. This means, that at every update different polling places will have a certain ratio.
On the other hand, if with new votes the ratios would stay constant, that would be VERY suspicious.