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posted ago by OregonTrailGen79 ago by OregonTrailGen79 +12 / -0

I'm trying to get some kind of working stat about how likely an individual would be to asymptomatically give someone else deadly COVID in a 12-month period. First, I'm thinking that in a 12-month period, IF you get COVID at all, you'll be contagious about five days out of 365. So that right there brings your chances down to about 1%. Then, they say asymptomatic cases are 1 in 5. So now our 1% is a fifth of 1%, if I'm thinking correctly. Then of course you have to consider whether you get someone else sick during this period of time (are they immune, etc.) And THEN you have to consider whether the people you get sick will be one of the minority who have a severe case. Also, I suppose we need to somehow account for people you get sick who then go on to get others possibly sick... IDK how far it would be sensible to carry that out, though.

Anyway. I'm an autist but not that kind, lol. If anyone here is that way, lemme know what ya think :)

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ZoominLikeToobin 3 points ago +3 / -0

Its basically zero. No pandemic has been fueled by "asymptomatic" spread.