I think the walkaways are what broke the algorithm. They expected all the Rs to vote for Trump and X% of the Independents, which is easily fixed with their weighted voting shift.
But Ds that voted for Trump were unexpected. They probably anticipated a Biden vote or no vote at all.
I think the walkaways are what broke the algorithm. They expected all the Rs to vote for Trump and X% of the Independents, which is easily fixed with their weighted voting shift.
But Ds that voted for Trump were unexpected. They probably anticipated a Biden vote or no vote at all.
That's a reasonable and rational premise.