No, I have not heard anything about Crowder's comments on Shiva's work. I have an MBA in Finance and Accounting from The University of Chicago. Not to say I am a math guru, but I have an analytical bent, and I found his presentation compelling and accurate.
Ok interesting. I thought crowder mentioned something about a PhD in the right putting out a BS analysis, and it seemed like it was Shiva based on what he said and how he described it. I was compelled too.
He used one of the axes to plot the difference between split ballot proportion and straight ticket proportion. It's difficult for most people to understand that, self included, and IMO his contribution suffers for that reason. Keeping it simpler is more persuasive. Should've just plotted the split ballot proportion on one axis and the straight ticket proportion on the other. He made a mess of it by trying to make the data look more neat and tidy on one graph.
Sure they do. He put % of straight Republican ticket on the X axis, and T-% R on the Y. You would expect the cluster to be low and slope slightly down, as you move to the right. But it slopes dramatically. It slopes downward at a sharp angle, meaning as you analyze precincts with a higher percentage of Republicans who vote a straight Republican ticket, you get a lower percentage of Trump votes. This makes no sense! Most everyone who votes straight R will vote for Trump, right? That would give you at the very least, a zero number on his graph (excess Trump votes). But the slope is negative . . . showing the more people voted R down ballot, the less they voted for Trump.
No, I have not heard anything about Crowder's comments on Shiva's work. I have an MBA in Finance and Accounting from The University of Chicago. Not to say I am a math guru, but I have an analytical bent, and I found his presentation compelling and accurate.
Ok interesting. I thought crowder mentioned something about a PhD in the right putting out a BS analysis, and it seemed like it was Shiva based on what he said and how he described it. I was compelled too.
Black scholes!
LOL. Amen bro.
He used one of the axes to plot the difference between split ballot proportion and straight ticket proportion. It's difficult for most people to understand that, self included, and IMO his contribution suffers for that reason. Keeping it simpler is more persuasive. Should've just plotted the split ballot proportion on one axis and the straight ticket proportion on the other. He made a mess of it by trying to make the data look more neat and tidy on one graph.
Sure they do. He put % of straight Republican ticket on the X axis, and T-% R on the Y. You would expect the cluster to be low and slope slightly down, as you move to the right. But it slopes dramatically. It slopes downward at a sharp angle, meaning as you analyze precincts with a higher percentage of Republicans who vote a straight Republican ticket, you get a lower percentage of Trump votes. This makes no sense! Most everyone who votes straight R will vote for Trump, right? That would give you at the very least, a zero number on his graph (excess Trump votes). But the slope is negative . . . showing the more people voted R down ballot, the less they voted for Trump.
also worth noting that his presentation was alongside 2 other people. It was not an individual analysis.