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22/1 odds means the book thinks he has a 4.35% chance to win
15/1 odds means the book thinks he has a 6.25% chance to win
what do you realistically think the odds of him winning are? if you think the odds are greater than 6.25% then cashing at 15/1 is foolish.
do you really think theres a 93.75% chance that western civilization is going to be defeated?
way i see it, either we win... or our money is worthless in the grand scheme.
im in for 10k at about 10/1 odds and an implied probability of 9.09% chance of success, whereas i believe the true probability of success is in the upper 90s. i almost liquidated half of my stock portfolio to jam into this wager. there will never be a better risk/return investment than this. you are getting 22/1 odds for something i believe to be 90%+ of hitting? wtf? thats an all-in investment if ever ive seen one. a once in a life time opportunity, if you will
unless you're putting yourself in a position where risk of ruin is a reality, then cashing out before AT LEAST 1/1 odds is silly.
Good break down. No real risk as money I better, was from previous bet wins. I have a normal job.
At the start I thought he had a 40% chance to 'overturn', now I think 20% which is still quite high.
I don't think a lot of people realise the damage to western civilisation this would cause or more people would be going crazy. The media and big tech made people complacent.
I am glad you think he has 90% chance of winning, sadly I don't at the moment
up to you to model true odds you think is accurate. cash out when the odds reach whatever that number is.
i could write and link for 2 hours all the reasons i have for my 90%+ number... but if you've been around for a while you should know it all. the tweets (going back to 2012 and up to june of 2020), the insiders, trumps pattern of behavior, trumps track record, makeup of scotus, https://hereistheevidence.com/, track record of people on the trump team right now, and more
I'd be holding the damn line. Depends on your faith in the strongest leader the world has ever seen. Dudes a beauty who doesn't know the meaning of the word lose.
Where can i get 22-1 on Pres Trump to win? I got 130-1 for kamala to be the candidate (after she dropped out of primary). I didn't think Joe would make it to Nov. Hedged it against Kamala for VP candidate so I'm net zero right now....
Its a Binary Event Now. Trump plays to Win.
if you are very nervous cashout, fear has no place in betting and trading. Remember, SCOTUS can't declare winner. even if election is void, Expect it to go to Electoral College.
Damn, never been nervous before, but this deep state shit is far beyond what I thought it was capable of. Election gets voided, it goes to electoral college and that would secure a Trump win
I'm starting to the think the legal route might not be enough. I believe he'll remain president but I think it will take the military to sort this mess out, which I don't think the conditions of the bet will pay out for.
We're all just shitposting until this reached the SCOTUS. When that happens you'll have a 50/50 chance. Mail in ballots are clearly unconstitutional though.
22/1 odds means the book thinks he has a 4.35% chance to win
15/1 odds means the book thinks he has a 6.25% chance to win
what do you realistically think the odds of him winning are? if you think the odds are greater than 6.25% then cashing at 15/1 is foolish.
do you really think theres a 93.75% chance that western civilization is going to be defeated?
way i see it, either we win... or our money is worthless in the grand scheme.
im in for 10k at about 10/1 odds and an implied probability of 9.09% chance of success, whereas i believe the true probability of success is in the upper 90s. i almost liquidated half of my stock portfolio to jam into this wager. there will never be a better risk/return investment than this. you are getting 22/1 odds for something i believe to be 90%+ of hitting? wtf? thats an all-in investment if ever ive seen one. a once in a life time opportunity, if you will
unless you're putting yourself in a position where risk of ruin is a reality, then cashing out before AT LEAST 1/1 odds is silly.
Good break down. No real risk as money I better, was from previous bet wins. I have a normal job.
At the start I thought he had a 40% chance to 'overturn', now I think 20% which is still quite high. I don't think a lot of people realise the damage to western civilisation this would cause or more people would be going crazy. The media and big tech made people complacent.
I am glad you think he has 90% chance of winning, sadly I don't at the moment
up to you to model true odds you think is accurate. cash out when the odds reach whatever that number is.
i could write and link for 2 hours all the reasons i have for my 90%+ number... but if you've been around for a while you should know it all. the tweets (going back to 2012 and up to june of 2020), the insiders, trumps pattern of behavior, trumps track record, makeup of scotus, https://hereistheevidence.com/, track record of people on the trump team right now, and more
Cheers for the help
I'd be holding the damn line. Depends on your faith in the strongest leader the world has ever seen. Dudes a beauty who doesn't know the meaning of the word lose.
Can I see a screengrab of your bet?
My advice is that you should kill yourself faggot.
1 hour old account.
Where can i get 22-1 on Pres Trump to win? I got 130-1 for kamala to be the candidate (after she dropped out of primary). I didn't think Joe would make it to Nov. Hedged it against Kamala for VP candidate so I'm net zero right now....
You can get 1000/1 on Karmala being the next pres on betfair
I'd put $100 on Pres Trump right now. $2000 would get me a nice new pc....
Worth. taking risk. Trump is ahead of schedule. all gloom doom talk is to let dems think of their fake victory.
I hope you are right!
Its a Binary Event Now. Trump plays to Win. if you are very nervous cashout, fear has no place in betting and trading. Remember, SCOTUS can't declare winner. even if election is void, Expect it to go to Electoral College.
Damn, never been nervous before, but this deep state shit is far beyond what I thought it was capable of. Election gets voided, it goes to electoral college and that would secure a Trump win
I'm starting to the think the legal route might not be enough. I believe he'll remain president but I think it will take the military to sort this mess out, which I don't think the conditions of the bet will pay out for.
That is my fear as well. I underestimated how corrupt courts are.
It's unbelievable. These people can't get away with it. Honestly I hope people are ready to burn it all to the ground if Biden somehow gets in.
Rudy is not arguing in front of the SCOTUS. Only a select few can.
Cash out Pede.
We're all just shitposting until this reached the SCOTUS. When that happens you'll have a 50/50 chance. Mail in ballots are clearly unconstitutional though.
Why 50/50 chance when we own SCOTUS lol? Sounds like commie propaganda to me.
Because someone could disagree. We have a 1 vote majority.