I appreciate his work ... but. I have briefed some pretty darned senior people. He should have never stated that he supported one side or the other, just that he is analyzing the data. But the presentation was horrible. He never put it in terms that regular people could understand. He said "there is a 98% correlation" but never said "this means..."
There were much bigger flaws than that. He never explained what correlated to what. He never explained what methodology he used to bucketize people into hardcore left/right, moderates, and swing.
Agreed, his presentation was D- at best. He saved it at the end with something we can actually dig (population growth vs. voter growth). Would need to compare to other western states to see how that data compares and correlates. Outliers would be extremely interesting and flag potential fraud.
I appreciate his work ... but. I have briefed some pretty darned senior people. He should have never stated that he supported one side or the other, just that he is analyzing the data. But the presentation was horrible. He never put it in terms that regular people could understand. He said "there is a 98% correlation" but never said "this means..."
He never explained "so what"
There were much bigger flaws than that. He never explained what correlated to what. He never explained what methodology he used to bucketize people into hardcore left/right, moderates, and swing.
Agreed, his presentation was D- at best. He saved it at the end with something we can actually dig (population growth vs. voter growth). Would need to compare to other western states to see how that data compares and correlates. Outliers would be extremely interesting and flag potential fraud.