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posted ago by Foletado ago by Foletado +7042 / -0
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650
PresdentElectRanglez 650 points ago +660 / -10

The sample size is far too small to extrapolate accurately across the entire state, but that fraud was found at all in such a small sample is proof enough to keep digging! Also, I believe, fraud vitiates everything!

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BurningBadger 67 points ago +69 / -2

"The sample size is far too small to extrapolate accurately across the entire state"

This is not necessarily the case. One can still calculate what the odds of this test's event occurring is given certain parameters. If one assumes there's only at most one in a thousand of the total ballots that are either ignored for Trump or switched from Trump to Biden, the odds of this event occurring is

1 - (0.999)^100 - 100(0.001)(0.999)^99 = 0.005

So this event would have occurred is half a percent.

To put this in perspective, imagine we assume there's only two possibilities, either there was so little fraud to 1 in 100,000 or there was this situation of 1 in 1000. We'll even given the prior probability of such fraud 1 in 1000. So, the new probability according to Bayesian probability is

P(F|E) = P(E|F)P(F)/(P(E|F)P(F) + P(E|not F)P(not F)) = 0.005 x 0.001 / (0.005 x 0.001 + 0.0000005 x 0.999) = 0.909

In essence, if the two outcomes where either insignificant amounts of fraud or a significant (if 'small') amount, one should already, just from this information, be very much assuming there is in fact fraud. And this is not counting all the other possibilities, that there's larger margins of fraud. More tests would be required, but this alone is actually incredibly damning.

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neverreddit 5 points ago +5 / -0

Hi you’re good at math! Isn’t 2% inaccurate? He lost 1 vote but then one vote was transferred from trump to Biden...if the second vote had just been tossed it would be 2% lost but since the other ballot was transferred to Biden doesn’t that mean at Trump actually suffered more than 2% loss?

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AsianVoter 3 points ago +3 / -0

Note how the "duplicate ballots" were defined in the video. They were defined as physical ballots that were not readable/differentiable. This is not the same as the massive number of digital "duplicate ballots" produced from double-scanned and double-counted copies of readable/differentiable physical ballots for Cheater Joe 8-10 times, according to eyewitness.