PhD here. Simple idiot-level math for you (not implying you're idiots. This is for the demotards/demoncrats/ccp shills)
37 votes were flipped from trump to biden. That actually means a delta or a swing of 37*2 because trump lost 37 and biden gained 37. So thats
74 votes in one county. This county itself has ~36000 people. So that's roughly 1 vote/1000 people being swapped, and a delta of 1/500 (the frequency doubles)
We can then make some simple assumptions and play with the math a bit.
Retard math:
take 74 votes * 159 counties (this severely underestimates the # swapped in more densely populated counties and overestimates the # in smalled counties)
= 11766 delta. That's pretty much enough to swing the elecition, is it not? isn't the margin said to be near 12k??
ok, lets do some even less conservative math and say that the frequency of 1/500 is the better metric.
that's 10,600,000 /500 = 21200 delta.
I would wager that among the dominion swaps, the real value is between 11 to 22k, enough to swing it
It's no coincidence that the likely delta falls so neatly next to the margin of victory. They wouldn't cheat by more than is absolutely necessarily. My guess is they have a lot of different vote totals that were either unreported or ignored as the "official total" settled over time - and by "settled", I mean they monkeyed with the percentages until they produced a narrow Biden win.
People need to remember that the riggers have access to the projections based on real-time information. They'll have a pretty damned good estimate of what is needed to overtake the eventual margin based on those projections. They just need to wait long enough to ensure that (hence the dumps overnight).
Good explanation of this scenario. It appears to be that the Democrat’s strategy was to implement a death by a thousand cuts. A multipronged fraud attack shaving off votes via Dominion, fake mail ins, rogue agent USPS & poll workers, etc. A fine idea to diversify and not bank everything on one tactic, but with an operation this huge it leaves them massively vulnerable to being exposed, which we’re seeing in real time.
there are a lot of assumptions, and this is a highly conservative estimate. I'm being upfront about that in my original post.
we could talk all day about other ways in which this could be more accurate, but I have more pressing things to attend to than generating PCA plots of what accounts for the greatest variation in voting deltas, like county urbanification, income, etc. add more voting machines, sure! it only helps our case!
Thanks, I didn't intend my post as a criticism, hope you didn't take it that way. Trying to point out exactly what you just stated - this is a highly conservative estimate. Appreciate your analysis.
Also, the math included 36,000 (denominator) people in the county. Is that total population or registered voters? And did everyone vote? Frequency & Delta goes up as the denominator goes down.
i'm playing fast & loose with the math. its total population ("the county itself has 36000 people" i thought i was being clear), which is a proxy for # voters (i know full well they arent the same thing, but they should map proportionally)
not everyone votes, of course. that however is unrelated to frequency and delta. re-read what I wrote. The 1/1000 becomes 1/500 when you turn 37 votes into a delta calculation, making it 74, thus, doubling the occurrence from 1/1000 to 1/500.
Perhaps the switching algorithm dynamically does it and it isn't based off the # registered voters (or county population) a priori, though. Who knows. that is just my hunch, that they just use a simple but reasonable metric to base their fraud on. like, if they had expert algorithm writers, they wouldn't be working at dominion, would they? wouldn't they be at google or something? or making video game engines? or brain-machine interface decoders?
they probably hire shitty programmers at dominion that probably wouldn't be able to code a decent dynamic heuristic for undetectable voter fraud. chinese people are CHEAP and wouldn't want to spend much money (source, work with cheap chinese)
It could be even better depending which piece of equipment he's talking about and how many they have. But purely on the 14,218 instead of the approx 36,000 we'd be looking at least double your guesstimate
PhD here. Simple idiot-level math for you (not implying you're idiots. This is for the demotards/demoncrats/ccp shills)
37 votes were flipped from trump to biden. That actually means a delta or a swing of 37*2 because trump lost 37 and biden gained 37. So thats 74 votes in one county. This county itself has ~36000 people. So that's roughly 1 vote/1000 people being swapped, and a delta of 1/500 (the frequency doubles)
We can then make some simple assumptions and play with the math a bit. Retard math: take 74 votes * 159 counties (this severely underestimates the # swapped in more densely populated counties and overestimates the # in smalled counties) = 11766 delta. That's pretty much enough to swing the elecition, is it not? isn't the margin said to be near 12k??
ok, lets do some even less conservative math and say that the frequency of 1/500 is the better metric. that's 10,600,000 /500 = 21200 delta.
I would wager that among the dominion swaps, the real value is between 11 to 22k, enough to swing it
It's no coincidence that the likely delta falls so neatly next to the margin of victory. They wouldn't cheat by more than is absolutely necessarily. My guess is they have a lot of different vote totals that were either unreported or ignored as the "official total" settled over time - and by "settled", I mean they monkeyed with the percentages until they produced a narrow Biden win.
People need to remember that the riggers have access to the projections based on real-time information. They'll have a pretty damned good estimate of what is needed to overtake the eventual margin based on those projections. They just need to wait long enough to ensure that (hence the dumps overnight).
Good explanation of this scenario. It appears to be that the Democrat’s strategy was to implement a death by a thousand cuts. A multipronged fraud attack shaving off votes via Dominion, fake mail ins, rogue agent USPS & poll workers, etc. A fine idea to diversify and not bank everything on one tactic, but with an operation this huge it leaves them massively vulnerable to being exposed, which we’re seeing in real time.
Bingo bango. This is what I was thinking. Dems may say each of them aren't enough, but in totality... very much so.
This assumes that the Country had only the one voting machine. I doubt that is the case.
there are a lot of assumptions, and this is a highly conservative estimate. I'm being upfront about that in my original post.
we could talk all day about other ways in which this could be more accurate, but I have more pressing things to attend to than generating PCA plots of what accounts for the greatest variation in voting deltas, like county urbanification, income, etc. add more voting machines, sure! it only helps our case!
Thanks, I didn't intend my post as a criticism, hope you didn't take it that way. Trying to point out exactly what you just stated - this is a highly conservative estimate. Appreciate your analysis.
no offense taken at all! thanks!
Also, the math included 36,000 (denominator) people in the county. Is that total population or registered voters? And did everyone vote? Frequency & Delta goes up as the denominator goes down.
i'm playing fast & loose with the math. its total population ("the county itself has 36000 people" i thought i was being clear), which is a proxy for # voters (i know full well they arent the same thing, but they should map proportionally)
not everyone votes, of course. that however is unrelated to frequency and delta. re-read what I wrote. The 1/1000 becomes 1/500 when you turn 37 votes into a delta calculation, making it 74, thus, doubling the occurrence from 1/1000 to 1/500.
Perhaps the switching algorithm dynamically does it and it isn't based off the # registered voters (or county population) a priori, though. Who knows. that is just my hunch, that they just use a simple but reasonable metric to base their fraud on. like, if they had expert algorithm writers, they wouldn't be working at dominion, would they? wouldn't they be at google or something? or making video game engines? or brain-machine interface decoders?
they probably hire shitty programmers at dominion that probably wouldn't be able to code a decent dynamic heuristic for undetectable voter fraud. chinese people are CHEAP and wouldn't want to spend much money (source, work with cheap chinese)
It gets better, i'm very familiar with the Georgia data. I'll let you do your magic but this will help you provide an even better estimate.
In Ware there was...14218 votes in total cast as per the hand-count audit.
Trump / Biden / Jorg / invalid writein / valid writein / overvote 9902 / 4174 / 117 / 16 / 6 / 3
It could be even better depending which piece of equipment he's talking about and how many they have. But purely on the 14,218 instead of the approx 36,000 we'd be looking at least double your guesstimate