The probability of former Vice President Biden winning the popular vote in the four Defendant states -- Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin -- independently given President Trump's early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4, 2020, is less than one in a quadrillion, or 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000. For former Vice President Biden to win those four states collectively, the odds increase to one in a quadrillion to the 4th power
So those are big numbers, I work with stats quite a lot, and I figured I would give a decent visualization.
First of all, one in a quadrillion to the 4th power is a 1 with 60 zeros behind it, or 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.
That's such a large number, it becomes meaningless to most people, it's impossible to fathom.
So let's talk lottery odds, since that's a little bit more close to home.
The rough odds (according to Lottery USA) of winning the Mega Millions jackpot are 1 in 302.6 million. The rough odds of winning the Powerball jackpot are 1 in 292.2 million.
That's still nowhere near our number, so let's up the improbability.
The odds of winning BOTH the Mega Millions jackpot AND the Powerball jackpot combined for a rough win of more than a billion dollars comes out to 1 in 88 quadrillion.
Now we're getting somewhere.
Now, statistically, you actually have around a 25% better chance at winning both the Mega Millions jackpot and the Powerball jackpot combined, THREE TIMES IN A ROW, than Joe Biden did at legitimately winning the 2020 election when the numbers were reported Nov 4 at 3 am.
EDIT: title should have been et al. not et All, my bad, still on my first cup of covfefe.
EDIT 2: Another example, you would have similar odds of picking a single atom out of the estimated number of atoms in the known, observable universe (1 in 10^78 - 10^82), Biden had ~1 in 10^60.
Where is that probability calculated?
Decl. of Charles J. Cicchetti, Ph.D. (“Cicchetti Decl.”) at ¶¶ 14-21, 30-31 (App. 4a-7a, 9a) in the court documents.
https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/22/22O155/163048/20201208132827887_TX-v-State-ExpedMot%202020-12-07%20FINAL.pdf