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posted ago by CrackerJack2 ago by CrackerJack2 +76 / -0

Upon examining the NY Times news feed for the Nevada Nov. 2020 results, a very peculiar result was noticed.  This involves the EEVP reported in every update of the vote in this feed.

The EEVP is defined by A.P. (Associated Press) and Edison Research as the Estimated Expected Vote Percentage, a certain percentage based on the number of registered voters in a state or other jurisdiction.

 This is the data in question from this same news feed:
...votes......eevp (%).......date and time
...1222331....88.........2020-11-05....T18:16:00Z
...1222331....89.........2020-11-05....T18:19:58Z
   This data shows an eevp change of  1%  during this time period with NO change in the Total vote!      An impossibility, unless some software, either internal or external, is being used to potentially modify the internal vote count in some weird, known manner.

 The only other explanation is that   "votes" only refer to   Biden   and   Trump   votes, and not 3rd party, hidden  votes.

In order to calculate how many votes this can affect, a 100% eevp value is needed to be calculated first, and is calculated using the total vote count of 1,222,331 and a eevp of 89, giving:

X÷100 = 1,222,331÷89
solving for X we get: X= 1,222,331×(100÷89)= 1,373,405.61797
          ~ 1,373,406
        = 100% of eevp

The change in eevp of 1%, the difference between an eevp of 88 and 89, is simply: 1% of eevp = 13,734 votes
This 1% of eevp can actually be as little as  -0.5% = 6,867 votes due to round off error, or as great as 1.5% = 20,601 votes.

   Where did these votes go?
 A fairly large unexplained vote irregularity!
This can be happening fairly often but is usually obscured by other additional "normal" vote tabulation increments.

    Between 6,867 and 20,601 votes seemed to have disappeared right before our eyes !

  (  change between eevp of 0.5% is 6,867 votes, and 1.5% eevp is 13,734 + 6,867 = 20,601 votes. )

( Raw NY Times data snipet: )

       {"vote_shares":{"bidenj":0.494,"trumpd":0.485},"votes":1222316,"eevp":88,"eevp_source":"edison","timestamp":"2020-11-05T18:02:27Z"},{"vote_shares":{"bidenj":0.494,"trumpd":0.485},"votes":1222331,"eevp":88,"eevp_source":"edison","timestamp":"2020-11-05T18:16:00Z"},{"vote_shares":{"bidenj":0.494,"trumpd":0.485},"votes":1222331,"eevp":89,"eevp_source":"edison","timestamp":"2020-11-05T18:19:58Z"},{"vote_shares":{"bidenj":0.498,"trumpd":0.481},"votes":1252653,"eevp":91,"eevp_source":"edison","timestamp":"2020-11-06T16:31:41Z"},

Nevada NY Times news feed:
( https://archive.is/NFeG3 )

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CrackerJack2 [S] 1 point ago +1 / -0

There we go:

votes......eevp (%).......date and time.
1222331....88.........2020-11-05....T18:16:00Z. 1222331....89.........2020-11-05....T18:19:58Z.

( need a lesson or two in formatting with this documentation software )