Just to remember, I believe Trump could invoke insurrection act before January 20th. Hell, I heard he could even do it a minute before inauguration.
It appears now that if martial law and insurrection are to happen, it'd be after the 6th. What I'm assuming is that Trump is calling for this giant protest, and I assume it'd be more meaningful than the previous rallies since he literally says it "will be wild" (and he didn't call for the previous ones), to put serious pressure onto the Senate and Congress to do the right thing. I think he's being a tiny bit merciful and is giving them one last chance to do it right. If they fuck it up, which they likely will, well it would suck to be them - I'd imagine Trump would pull out the insurrection act shortly afterwards if our numbers and declaration of war isn't enough. I think he intends to punish them when they finalize their crime in certifying illegal results.
I wouldn't go so far in jumping the gun and assuming Trump would be like "oh I'll just sit around and stall it out until the 6th and hopefully this protest will make senate and congress do the right thing". After studying Trump and how he operates, I doubt that would be the case. He could very well be doing a lot of behind-the-scenes shit before then, like silently readying up the military to go right after the 6th assuming it fails, amongst other potential secret things. Or, he may already have readied up the military secretly to the point he could afford to wait and strike the swamp at the moment they finalize their crimes.
Trump isn't stupid. There's had to be many different reasons he is calling for the rally. Maybe he does intend to do stuff before then and get his win before the 6th, and maybe he's calling for a victory protest to show the world by force what Americans stand for. I probably wouldn't consider that very likely though.
Or it could be a distraction into tricking into thinking he'll do nothing before then.
My whole point of this is that I doubt it's as simple as Trump just suddenly stops doing things and just relies on his base to pressure Congress and Senate. He knows how fucked up the swamp is. I seriously do not believe for a second he will genuinely let them get away with it. He knows very well that if he leaves office, the swamp would be out to assassinate him and his family. Do you think he remotely wants that?
He's come so fucking far. Has he ever looked worried, or concerned? Not to me.
He knows he'd lose his base if he concedes. Why do you think he's calling for this protest? I doubt he thinks protests alone would change things. Again, it could very well be to have us further pressure Congress/Senate into certifying the votes correctly for Trump, and if they don't, that's when hammers get dropped.
While martial law and insurrection act are unlikely to happen before the 6th, that doesn't change the fact that EO 13848 still exists and that he's still reorganized the Pentagon. Like I said earlier, it could easily happen right after the 6th. It's a backup plan and a final result. And if it makes any sense, the swamp finalizing criminal results gives him more justification to pull the military trigger, as he'd then have exhausted all options by that time. Or, it could possibly happen before the 6th and the 6th is a victory dance. Still consider that unlikely but I think it's a possibility.
I wouldn't be surprised if something happens on the "new" Christmas Eve holiday. But would that be too obvious?
I rather doubt he's calling for a huge rally to intentionally place his supporters in a volatile/dangerous situation.