Even if it’s true you need to consider cause vs correlation.
Our elderly population is increasing at around 3% per year due to aging baby boomers. And total pop is up by about 0.3% .
That means we gained around 1.2 million people or so and have somewhere in the ballpark of 11 million more people in the 65+ bracket. If our population is growing AND aging then an increase in deaths is to be expected. If the elderly pop increased by 11 million and total deaths increased by around 200k we can view this as 200,000/11,000,000 or 1.8% increase in relation to the population change. The “excess deaths” being reported are proportionally lower than the increase in elderly citizens....
Statistics don’t lie but statisticians do. Anybody can play with numbers to create a narrative.
It would be so nice if we have a government backed place where stats were open to the public. This should be an easy question.
Same for voting rolls and records. Same for crime stats. Same for census info. How are they still counting votes in NY!?????
Information is power. AJ has told us this for many years.
Yep, and it would be too easy to say "look at your own numbers! The Emporer has no clothes!"
So they hide it.
2020 hasn't ended yet, so yes this is false. Gotta wait until Jan 1, 2021 to make the claim. Will very likely be true
Even if it’s true you need to consider cause vs correlation.
Our elderly population is increasing at around 3% per year due to aging baby boomers. And total pop is up by about 0.3% .
That means we gained around 1.2 million people or so and have somewhere in the ballpark of 11 million more people in the 65+ bracket. If our population is growing AND aging then an increase in deaths is to be expected. If the elderly pop increased by 11 million and total deaths increased by around 200k we can view this as 200,000/11,000,000 or 1.8% increase in relation to the population change. The “excess deaths” being reported are proportionally lower than the increase in elderly citizens....
Statistics don’t lie but statisticians do. Anybody can play with numbers to create a narrative.
It's about the same. Roughly the same number of people have died each year according to the CDC data.
In 2018, according to the CDC, there were 2,839,205 “deaths from all causes” in the United States.
www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm
In 2020, (as of December 23), there have been 2,851,438 “deaths from all causes”.
www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
I couldn't find data for 2019, for some reason.
no
around thanksgiving we needed about 350,000 people to die in order to beat last years numbers.
That means 350K had to die in ~ one month. That is about 10,937/day.
Impossible.