More simply. What makes a bellwether is the victory, not the margin. The previous lists and tables were doing just fine. You added percentage margin, which in reality adds nothing to the point.
I agree that the notion of a bell weather only relies on victory. The whole notion of a bell weather is an instable one though. A small pertubation to a county result such as 50.1 to 49.9 to 49.9 to 50.1 changes the bell weather result completely and hence the bell weather designation is unstable.
How would you show it?
More simply. What makes a bellwether is the victory, not the margin. The previous lists and tables were doing just fine. You added percentage margin, which in reality adds nothing to the point.
I agree that the notion of a bell weather only relies on victory. The whole notion of a bell weather is an instable one though. A small pertubation to a county result such as 50.1 to 49.9 to 49.9 to 50.1 changes the bell weather result completely and hence the bell weather designation is unstable.
It is the uncanny stability that makes a bellwether. That’s the point. And makes them easy to visualize, if done properly.