Benford's Law is applicable to election - the eyes of Texas can see this
(media.patriots.win)
Comments (2)
sorted by:
DEFAULT COMMUNITIES
•
All
General
AskWin
Funny
Technology
Animals
Sports
Gaming
DIY
Health
Positive
Privacy
There are Benford's Law deniers all over Algore's intertubes. Like any statistical principle, it can be misused, but the claim that "Benford's Law does not apply to elections" is a lie. I've posted an image of a run of a simple Python program with numbers from the Presidential election in Texas. Why Texas? Simple - with 254 counties, Texas has far more than any other state (Georgia is second with 149) Note that the first-digit percentages of both the Biden and Trump totals are close to what Benford's Law predicts. Benford's Law explained at wolfram
Benford's law can be an accurate indication of fraud for datasets that meet certain criteria, two of these being that the data spans many order of magnitude and that the data is not structured by some external process. Voter districts are planned by election commissions to service a certain range of number of voters. This structuring makes Benford's law a very poor test for fraud with a high percent of false positive and false negatives. Similarly counties have some structuring based on population size. I posted on it here.
https://patriots.win/p/12i48fTL50/benfords-law-isnt-valid-to-ident/c/
IMO it is such a bad fit it was likely first proposed as disinformation to get people to promote a vote fraud claim that can be easily debunked to discredit statements about actual fraud.