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A new COVID-19 study concludes there is a “99.8% probability SARS-CoV-2 came from a laboratory.” - The 193-page paper published January 29th is titled “A Bayesian analysis concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that SARS-CoV-2 is not a natural zoonosis but instead is laboratory derived.” (thenationalpulse.com) 🖕FUCK CHINA🖕
posted ago by Starxteel ago by Starxteel +354 / -0
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– Watermelons -1 points ago +2 / -3

Good Lord. This guy is a charlatan. Page 21 discounts his entire analysis. Specifically this line. To paraphrase I didn't like the numbers so I changed them.

Since some of the probability calculations have astronomical values which would make a single such evidence statement, if inputted directly, swamp any further calculation and make their later contribution mute, a decision was made to simply treat quantitative probabilities as significant at the p = 0.05 level, no matter how much ‘more significant’ the calculation suggested.

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– GeneralFlynn 2 points ago +2 / -0

There’s value to what he’s doing here in beginning his analysis and such... put when publishing a statistical paper?

Use the significant figures. For fuck’s sake.

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