I work in the domain of public health, and one of my mentors used to work for the federal United States government, at one point in biostatistics. He stated that these polls are easily manipulated. It is pathetic.
These main stream media companies are morally reprehensible to me. Ugh
This sample size is also really pathetic. For 99% confidence - which is the BARE minimum social scientists at a place like ABC should accept, polling American adults even under ideal conditions should be over 650.
This has an effective margin of error of 6-7% even before factoring in sources of error.
Social scientists usually go with the 95% confidence level. With that, the poll has an error margin of around 4.4%. Still way too high, IF the sample was truly random. But of course it wasn't. BS poll as usual from BS people.
I work in the domain of public health, and one of my mentors used to work for the federal United States government, at one point in biostatistics. He stated that these polls are easily manipulated. It is pathetic.
These main stream media companies are morally reprehensible to me. Ugh
This sample size is also really pathetic. For 99% confidence - which is the BARE minimum social scientists at a place like ABC should accept, polling American adults even under ideal conditions should be over 650. This has an effective margin of error of 6-7% even before factoring in sources of error.
Social scientists usually go with the 95% confidence level. With that, the poll has an error margin of around 4.4%. Still way too high, IF the sample was truly random. But of course it wasn't. BS poll as usual from BS people.