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anothersilentone 1 point ago +1 / -0

You're off by a factor of 10 on your percentage calculations. With a 99.8% recovery rate, your risk of dying is 0.2%, or 0.002. Without the vaccine, you would die 2 times out of 1000. If the vaccine is 90% effective, then by your calculation you would die 0.2 times out of 1000.

Another way to say it is, the vaccine supposedly increases your recovery rate from 99.80% to 99.98%