Some scientists believe the initial COVID-19 outbreak was real, but has since degraded into a "casedemic" due to excessive testing and false positives.
Most people, I would say, are incorrectly assuming that a "case" is a "sick person", but the reality is that the definition of a case is simply a "positive PCR test", which completely ignores the possibility of false positives.
The probability of true positives, which is called the "positive predictive value", goes down when the "disease prevalence" (what percentage of the population is actually sick) goes down.
Some scientists believe the initial COVID-19 outbreak was real, but has since degraded into a "casedemic" due to excessive testing and false positives.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a8vrLyLtG-0
https://www.medmastery.com/guide/covid-19-clinical-guide/how-does-prevalence-affect-predictive-value-test
Almost by magic one day the media went from daily reporting of 'covid' deaths to instead talking about covid cases.
How this didn't get any neurons firing among consumers of the msm I'll never understand.
Most people, I would say, are incorrectly assuming that a "case" is a "sick person", but the reality is that the definition of a case is simply a "positive PCR test", which completely ignores the possibility of false positives.
The probability of true positives, which is called the "positive predictive value", goes down when the "disease prevalence" (what percentage of the population is actually sick) goes down.