"As for Biden’s first months in office, Lichtman says that, “He is governing incredibly well.” On a scale of one to 10, he gives Biden a nine, based on, among other things, his executive orders on the environment, voting and climate change, plus his passage of a $1.9 trillion economic-stimulus package. "
"Allan Lichtman, the American University political historian who has accurately predicted the outcome of almost all of our presidential elections in more than three decades, told me in an interview that it is “very unlikely” that Trump will be the Republican nominee in 2024 or that he will return to the White House as a candidate of a third party."
Hmmm, he made the model with a Russian? A Russian ?!?
And a seismologist at that?
"Lichtman created the Keys to the White House model, which he created with Russian seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The model uses 13 True/False criteria to predict whether the candidate of an incumbent party will win or lose the next election for the U.S. president."
"When five or fewer of the following statements about an upcoming election are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election.
When six or more keys are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.[1]
Midterm gains: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
No primary contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
Incumbent seeking re-election: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
No third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
Strong short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
Strong long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
Major policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
No social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
No scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10.. No foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
Major foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
Charismatic incumbent: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
Uncharismatic challenger: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero."
Ah, right...
He is an idiot.
"As for Biden’s first months in office, Lichtman says that, “He is governing incredibly well.” On a scale of one to 10, he gives Biden a nine, based on, among other things, his executive orders on the environment, voting and climate change, plus his passage of a $1.9 trillion economic-stimulus package. "
He starts off with a lie!
"Since former President Trump lost the 2020 elections and tried to fraudulently overturn its results"
Yeah!
Hmmm, almost all? not all...
A few guesses as to which ones he missed?
"Allan Lichtman, the American University political historian who has accurately predicted the outcome of almost all of our presidential elections in more than three decades, told me in an interview that it is “very unlikely” that Trump will be the Republican nominee in 2024 or that he will return to the White House as a candidate of a third party."
Cool I probably won't vote then. Zero trust in the GOP.
Yeah.
Hmmm, he made the model with a Russian? A Russian ?!?
And a seismologist at that?
"Lichtman created the Keys to the White House model, which he created with Russian seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The model uses 13 True/False criteria to predict whether the candidate of an incumbent party will win or lose the next election for the U.S. president."
A lot predicted that DJT will not win 2016!
What a stupid model.
"When five or fewer of the following statements about an upcoming election are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election.
When six or more keys are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.[1]
Midterm gains: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
No primary contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
Incumbent seeking re-election: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
No third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
Strong short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
Strong long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
Major policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
No social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
No scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10.. No foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
Major foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
Charismatic incumbent: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
Uncharismatic challenger: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero."
That article is so obviously written by a TDS patient.
Whatever.