An election planning commission responsible for a given region designs precincts to service a certain number of voters based on drive time, access, logistics, volunteers, electronic equipment, etc. This adds significant structure to the vote count dataset.
Benford's law is only a valid indicator of fraud for an unstructured dataset that spans orders of magnitude. Given the intentional planning of precinct size the first digit of voter precinct vote counts may or may not follow Benford's law for a range of reasons and does not indicate fraud.
An election planning commission responsible for a given region designs precincts to service a certain number of voters based on drive time, access, logistics, volunteers, electronic equipment, etc. This adds significant structure to the vote count dataset.
Benford's law is only a valid indicator of fraud for an unstructured dataset that spans orders of magnitude. Given the intentional planning of precinct size the first digit of voter precinct vote counts may or may not follow Benford's law for a range of reasons and does not indicate fraud.