1432
#CTCCTCGGCGGGCACGTAG (media.communities.win)
posted ago by XlDEN ago by XlDEN +1434 / -2
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30
FrontholeEnjoyer 30 points ago +31 / -1

I got 1 in 274,877,906,944 chance , I must be bad at math

17
AceOfTrumps 17 points ago +17 / -0

Same thing I got last night

Might be something we're missing about codon arrangement or something

10
FrontholeEnjoyer 10 points ago +12 / -2

Yup most likely the case. Since you seem like a fellow analytical chap, wrap your head around my two most recent posts while I have your attention and see if you can make anything of it.

https://patriots.win/p/141EwQBfEa/why-did-the-january-6th-committe/ https://patriots.win/p/141EwQBf2F/guys-this-is-huge-i-think-the-ja/

6
catvideos3 6 points ago +6 / -0

What are the chances of complex life evolving?

4
Saltkang 4 points ago +4 / -0

Certain sequences will have a restriction on what can come next, which reduces the odds down to the billion range.

7
chungus47 7 points ago +7 / -0

If that is 4^19 that's correct.

4
sordfysh 4 points ago +4 / -0

But you forgot the denominator.

The denominator is the total number of places in the virus it could be found.

This anaysis should be complicated if done right, but it can be as simple as counting up the number of base pairs and subtracting 19 if you want a very simple estimation.

I haven't done genetics math in a long time, and I haven't studied the sequence, but if you have the sequence, you can throw it into MS Word or Notepad and have it count the number of characters.

There are also free genetics software out there that can help you do the analysis of determining the relative rarity of the gene sequence.

3
JMaN 3 points ago +4 / -1

I turned on the TV while I was studying a couple nights ago. The scene was a young black male in high school discussing his potential with the black counselor or dean or something... Anyway the older black man tells the young black man that he is scoring over the 90th percentile in every subject when he takes the tests. The young black man doesn't seem to really care... He's just seems really pissed off (I can't blame him). So I'm watching this and the older black man asks him to take another test... The older black man then says, "And please do not put "D" for every answer. Why would you do that? Why did you do that?" The young black man pauses for several seconds, not saying a word or making any expression. Then the young black man suddenly says, ""D". For DAMNED."

So I mute it and go back to my studying.

The next day I go to take the exam I was studying for. I shit you not, questions 1-4 I answer "D". Question 5 I skip because it didn't come to me right away and I had a time limit. Question 6-9 I answer all "D" again... So I'm looking at my answers and then I remembered the movie scene and I'm thinking to myself, "What?"

So what are the odds that I see that movie and then the very next day I take that exam, whether my answers were "right" or "wrong" and I get all those consecutive "D's" after skipping #5 which was not a "D"? That's pretty wild.

5
thethrowaway 5 points ago +5 / -0

The professor saw the movie too and decided to incorporate it. Since there were two movies on the night before, the odds were fifty fifty.

3
JMaN 3 points ago +3 / -0

Only 50? So I'm not over the target? So satan is just screwing around with me just for fun? Is he trying to sift me? Really? You rarely comment. Do you want to know what grade my genetics professor gave me? Ask me.

3
Necrovoter 3 points ago +3 / -0

Had a teacher give a 20 question test - all correct answers were the choice "D". It was one of the easiest tests - in terms of the actual questions asked, but few people put down all Ds.

2
JMaN 2 points ago +3 / -1

That's kind of funny. My exam was 50 questions long. I counted all of the "Ds" that I used as answers. It was 14. That means about 28 percent, or 14 questions. My problem was that the first 8/9 I filled in were "D" and I had just watched that scene.

5
Necrovoter 5 points ago +5 / -0

If I understand this correctly, the four possibilities always pair up with one exact opposite: C (cytosine) with G (guanine) and A (adenine) with T (thymine)T. So there are two potential pairings.

Does it matter whether a pair is listed as C-G or G-C? I can see where they would look different when the DNA is unfolded:

C --- G
A -- T
A -- T

vs

C -- G
T -- A
A -- T

But I don't recall seeing anything on this aspect of DNA before. Maybe I was just blithely unaware.

3
Wanderlust 3 points ago +3 / -0

Yes it matters. DNA is really two long strands of the C, G, A, and T's. You would want to write it so each strand was in line with itself. They pair, but while being read the pairs are pulled apart from each other and only one strand is being read and converted to mRNA.

No need to represent the twists and folds via the way you type it out.

2
Necrovoter 2 points ago +2 / -0

DNA is really two long strands each strand was in line with itself

OK, that makes sense - Thanks.
I was viewing it as each pair being the sequence, since when DNA splits and reforms, the same opposites will always appear.

3
Wanderlust 3 points ago +3 / -0

I hear you. It's more like a zipper. Keep it closed for protection/slow down expression and open it for use. So it "appears" by enzymes and proteins that slide along it pushing them back together. It's made easier because the pairs have a proper attraction or fit for each other.

3
PhilosoGuido 3 points ago +3 / -0

These Coronaviruses are not dual strand DNA viruses but rather are single strand RNA.

3
HuggableBear 3 points ago +3 / -0

It's actually lower than that because that's just the odds of an empty space recombining into that sequence.

You also have to take into account the odds of that gap being created in the first place, which is basically the same odds as you've just given, so square the 274 billion number and you're starting to get close.

1 in 75,557,863,725,914,323,419,136

2
TheOneWhoKnocks 2 points ago +2 / -0

You probably calculated combinations instead of permutations. Easy mistake.