i dont think they can possibly file now. It would be suicide to have a republican controlled trial. The best scenario for them is orchestrating a purposeful loss by vote.
Not surprised at all, Democrats have absolutely fucked Black communities for years and also many of them are starting to see that the Media is trying to make them hate Trump with "muh Racist" narrative even though when you actually look at the history of Trump he is extremely pro-civil rights and pro-racial equality. it'll take a few more years but I can see that number sharply increasing.
Hate to be a downer but 2016 made me view political polls as absolute garbage. I don’t believe anything they say. Especially one poll on its own, rather than an aggregate of multiple polls.
Polls are used to manipulate opinions, not reflect them.
A lot of the exit polls in 2016 aligned pretty much exactly with the last polls right before the election.
The biggest problem (in my opinion) was that most of the biased media would tack on opinion riders to their poll articles saying that the Hilldawg would win, even though the data clearly said both her and Trump were neck and neck and within the margin of error (which means they can't really tell either way who would win and they were just being biased pieces of shit).
How dare they stray from what the white dems tell them to do. Don't they realize everything the Democrats have done for them, Jim crow, kkk, slavery....oh wait?
Support for the job Trump is doing doesn't necessarily translate into votes FOR Trump. I'd say the best we can hope for is people who are doing better and fairly satified just don't bother to vote at all, because I just don't see one third of black voters abandoning the Dem party, even for a one off vote just for Trump.
I just read a tweet that said the black community has a lot of experience recognizing when innocent people are being railroaded. Impeachment isn't playing the way Democrats thought it would with people of color.
He won't get 15% of the black vote. Its unreasonable to expect anyone with an R next to their name to get 10% of the black vote. Generationss of brainwashing won't go away that easy
Okay, I'll be the turd in the punch bowl. I simply don't believe it based on how elections have been going since supposed black Trump support began to rise. There's been absolutely no actual evidence this is true and we should take it with a grain of salt.
I find the poll takers to be racist. Why must they continue to categorize people by race, religion and creed? Just give the stats for 10,000 voting people and be done with it.
I’m glad that black Americans are waking up to reality. You don’t need government to survive in this country. Hard work and strong family and you can do anything. For the most part.
CNN, NYT, YouGov, Reuters, Zogby, and Harvard Harris all have Trump's black support at a near constant 20-25% or in PPP(D) and Quinnipiac case black support and enthusiasm for Dems way down. If these are actually black supporters and not self identified blacks this is just absolutely election saving news for Trump
A good poll reflects opinions, as long as you take the margin of error into account.
But, a good poll is extremely difficult to achieve. You can no longer just dial phone numbers at random. If someone has a landline at all, they don't answer it unless they recognize a caller ID. And, you can't call cellphones without prior permission.
And there's also the "shy voter". Trump supporters are abused on a regular basis, both physically and verbally. Many will not volunteer that information to a stranger.
Rasmussen does better than most. They use an interactive voice response system, rather than a live human. And, they also attempt to survey people that have abandoned land lines.
They called the 2016 popular vote almost exactly, predicting Clinton +1.7, while actual results were Clinton +2.0. Of course, that doesn't account for the Electoral College.
That's one of the complicating factors for polling: in order to forecast the Presidential election, you have to conduct 51 different polls. Actually, it's 54 polls, as Maine and Nebraska can split their electoral votes.
Nate Silver tried to do this, but he didn't have control of the per-state polls and how they were conducted. And, the results were so close that he couldn't predict Trump would sweep the Rust Belt states.
This is frankly unsurprising to me. I’m white, but can anyone tell me what Obama did for black voters other than proving anyone can be president? All this talk and yet in “progressive” cities like Boston, the average black person was worth $8 by the end of his term. $8. Google it.
When that’s the bar set by “liberals”, is it any wonder Trump’s doing well? A rising tide raises all boats, and we are all Americans.
Edit: But also fuck the pollsters, they have little credibility. Let’s not be arrogant now.
Big Dragon (dick) Energy
I love trump ?
If Mayor Buttpacker is the nominee, it probably goes to 90%.
Lol mayor buttpacker
Oh, they’re gonna file dude. Because is their last hand, they have no choice but to go through with it.
i dont think they can possibly file now. It would be suicide to have a republican controlled trial. The best scenario for them is orchestrating a purposeful loss by vote.
Yeah that will allow the weak dem candidates to get some cover.
Literally unstumpable.
Not surprised at all, Democrats have absolutely fucked Black communities for years and also many of them are starting to see that the Media is trying to make them hate Trump with "muh Racist" narrative even though when you actually look at the history of Trump he is extremely pro-civil rights and pro-racial equality. it'll take a few more years but I can see that number sharply increasing.
Planned Parenthood murders 900 black babies a day.
"Colored people are like human weeds and are to be exterminated." - Margaret Sanger, Founder of Planned Parenthood, and Democrat.
So happy that people like Candace Owens are redpilling black community, they've been fucked over for so long.
people need to study and make their own decisions not vote based on what they said they should vote because they're black
The day I learned about what PP does in black communities I'll never forget.
I always grew up thinking it was a good thing because that's what I was taught. Pure evil
Love to see people that know PP roots and the disgrace of its founding
These quotes still shock me to this day
They'll destroy statues because of racists beliefs, but won't destroy institutions created out of racist beliefs. Rules for thee...
BLEXIT! It's about damn time. Thank you x 1000 to Candice Owens and Kanye. Side point, I wonder if Kanye has forced Kimmy to swallow that red pill.
I’ve been wondering that too. Otherwise, I can’t imagine there won’t be a divorce soon...
Yay more of the community are waking up!
We are going through a Renaissance!!
This is 50% fake news.No, I was incorrect. Rasmussen did indeed cite the Emerson poll.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1198300483263369229
But, they also conducted their own poll:
https://mobile.twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1198298373809422342/
Hate to be a downer but 2016 made me view political polls as absolute garbage. I don’t believe anything they say. Especially one poll on its own, rather than an aggregate of multiple polls.
Polls are used to manipulate opinions, not reflect them.
A lot of the exit polls in 2016 aligned pretty much exactly with the last polls right before the election.
The biggest problem (in my opinion) was that most of the biased media would tack on opinion riders to their poll articles saying that the Hilldawg would win, even though the data clearly said both her and Trump were neck and neck and within the margin of error (which means they can't really tell either way who would win and they were just being biased pieces of shit).
How dare they stray from what the white dems tell them to do. Don't they realize everything the Democrats have done for them, Jim crow, kkk, slavery....oh wait?
Support for the job Trump is doing doesn't necessarily translate into votes FOR Trump. I'd say the best we can hope for is people who are doing better and fairly satified just don't bother to vote at all, because I just don't see one third of black voters abandoning the Dem party, even for a one off vote just for Trump.
I'd like to be wrong, of course.
This is good news, but we can't be complacent. We need to work hard to make sure that we keep winning!
Was Trump on the ballot?
That's it.
Democrats have officially lost 2020.
It's impossible for Dems to beat Trump while losing that much minority support.
They know this, hence the impeachment fraud.
I just read a tweet that said the black community has a lot of experience recognizing when innocent people are being railroaded. Impeachment isn't playing the way Democrats thought it would with people of color.
He won't get 15% of the black vote. Its unreasonable to expect anyone with an R next to their name to get 10% of the black vote. Generationss of brainwashing won't go away that easy
Okay, I'll be the turd in the punch bowl. I simply don't believe it based on how elections have been going since supposed black Trump support began to rise. There's been absolutely no actual evidence this is true and we should take it with a grain of salt.
I hope i'm wrong, though.
“If you strike me down, I shall become more powerful than you can possibly imagine.”
CANT EVEN STRIKE HIM DOWN THO
That's some amateur percentage! Pump it up!
Ha! Looks like Blexit is real!
lol suck it, Dims. Your slaves have left your plantation because they're freeeeeeee! no matter how much to try to keep them down.
'Murica! KAG2020 baby!
If Buttigeg wins the nomination, how many black people will vote for zir?
ICYMI: At like ~15-20% support the Democrat party is FINISHED.
Means nothing if they don't get the fuck out and vote
I find the poll takers to be racist. Why must they continue to categorize people by race, religion and creed? Just give the stats for 10,000 voting people and be done with it.
I’m glad that black Americans are waking up to reality. You don’t need government to survive in this country. Hard work and strong family and you can do anything. For the most part.
Those are only the people not keeping how they are going to vote to themselves. I've never let a pollster know how I'm voting :)
CNN, NYT, YouGov, Reuters, Zogby, and Harvard Harris all have Trump's black support at a near constant 20-25% or in PPP(D) and Quinnipiac case black support and enthusiasm for Dems way down. If these are actually black supporters and not self identified blacks this is just absolutely election saving news for Trump
Not sure what article you read, but black approval for President Donald Trump hit 334%! Now that's HUGE!
A good poll reflects opinions, as long as you take the margin of error into account.
But, a good poll is extremely difficult to achieve. You can no longer just dial phone numbers at random. If someone has a landline at all, they don't answer it unless they recognize a caller ID. And, you can't call cellphones without prior permission.
And there's also the "shy voter". Trump supporters are abused on a regular basis, both physically and verbally. Many will not volunteer that information to a stranger.
Rasmussen does better than most. They use an interactive voice response system, rather than a live human. And, they also attempt to survey people that have abandoned land lines.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/about_us/methodology
They called the 2016 popular vote almost exactly, predicting Clinton +1.7, while actual results were Clinton +2.0. Of course, that doesn't account for the Electoral College.
That's one of the complicating factors for polling: in order to forecast the Presidential election, you have to conduct 51 different polls. Actually, it's 54 polls, as Maine and Nebraska can split their electoral votes.
Nate Silver tried to do this, but he didn't have control of the per-state polls and how they were conducted. And, the results were so close that he couldn't predict Trump would sweep the Rust Belt states.
This is how he wins re-election. Republicans don’t need to win in the demographic. They just have to not suck.
Holy hat, 34%? Amazing.
This is frankly unsurprising to me. I’m white, but can anyone tell me what Obama did for black voters other than proving anyone can be president? All this talk and yet in “progressive” cities like Boston, the average black person was worth $8 by the end of his term. $8. Google it.
When that’s the bar set by “liberals”, is it any wonder Trump’s doing well? A rising tide raises all boats, and we are all Americans.
Edit: But also fuck the pollsters, they have little credibility. Let’s not be arrogant now.
There's plenty of time for numbers to move before the election, but Rassmussen has a good track record of getting pretty close.
Thanks Kanye, very cool!
I created so many RemindMe’s to go off the day after the election.
There is so much excitement around 2020. We just have to get out and vote!!! Put it on the calendar now.
Dems desperate as fuck, probably talking among themselves like "we have escapees" ?