I still find it baffling that people make the case Minnesota isn't shifting Republican in the face of the fact that her margin narrowed by 10 pts btwn her 1st and 2nd reelections despite 2018 being 7 points more D-leaning than 2012.
Democrat vote share in Minnesota peaked in 1972. More accurately, it's related to how liberal Minnesota was immediately after the Vietnam war when the Hmong were resettled.
Worth remembering that relative to national mean, the Midwest was roughly as bad for Democrats in 2018 as 2016. Basically every midwestern race came in below public expectations. They lost OH-Gov, OH and MI senate ended up being substantially closer than people had thought (and that was due to late movement in the final weeks of the campaign), Wisconsin governor was tied in a D+8 year, Minnesota was D+7 in a D+8 year, the house races in WI/MN were awful
Thank God Minnesota been trending Republican
I still find it baffling that people make the case Minnesota isn't shifting Republican in the face of the fact that her margin narrowed by 10 pts btwn her 1st and 2nd reelections despite 2018 being 7 points more D-leaning than 2012.
Democrat vote share in Minnesota peaked in 1972. More accurately, it's related to how liberal Minnesota was immediately after the Vietnam war when the Hmong were resettled.
Worth remembering that relative to national mean, the Midwest was roughly as bad for Democrats in 2018 as 2016. Basically every midwestern race came in below public expectations. They lost OH-Gov, OH and MI senate ended up being substantially closer than people had thought (and that was due to late movement in the final weeks of the campaign), Wisconsin governor was tied in a D+8 year, Minnesota was D+7 in a D+8 year, the house races in WI/MN were awful
Reagan: “I didn’t leave the Democratic party, the Democratic Party left me.”
I think this explains the voting trend in Minnesota and Wisconsin.
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