"Here's the problem with infectious diseases, though, as the infection rate goes up, it doesn't go up LINEARLY but EXPONENTIALLY."
Yes, initially.
What makes you think corona virus population isn't following a sigmoidal graph, the same as every single virus that has come before?
Media loves to report on the initial phase, up to the point of inflection. Once we have an inflection point, we can estimate total number of cases at which it will plateau, in this case around 120K.
"Here's the problem with infectious diseases, though, as the infection rate goes up, it doesn't go up LINEARLY but EXPONENTIALLY."
Yes, initially.
What makes you think corona virus population isn't following a sigmoidal graph, the same as every single virus that has come before?
Media loves to report on the initial phase, up to the point of inflection. Once we have an inflection point, we can estimate total number of cases at which it will plateau, in this case around 120K.