As of Monday morning, there are 14 confirmed cases of coronavirus in King County, including five deaths, and four cases in Snohomish County, including one death.
Four of five deaths in King County have been linked to a nursing facility in Kirkland. Fifty people at the facility with symptoms are being tested for coronavirus.
Multiple schools are closed Monday for deep cleaning after potential coronavirus exposure.
I think it will be difficult to calculate an accurate death rate. For most healthy people, the symptoms are minimal and resemble the common cold. Some are even asymptomatic.
The only cases considered confirmed are those that are tested. I think it's even a two stage test: a field test and a lab test (at the CDC). Without the asymptomatic cases (some of which have been contagious) and the untested cases, the death rate will be artificially high.
I'm watching this closely because a family member with a pre-existing condition is vulnerable. Otherwise, my only concern is financial, as part of our retirement income is from investments.
A US citizen repatriated from Wuhan and quarantined at Lackland AFB (near San Antonio) tested negative twice, and was released after the 14-day quarantine period.
A third test detected a low-level Covid-19 infection, after the person had already been out in public (at a shopping mall). I don't know why the third test succeeded, while the others failed.... or why it was performed after he was released.
The person is back in quarantine. And, the people still at Lackland that were supposed to complete their 14-day quarantine today (I think they were from the cruise ship) are not being allowed to leave.
There has been speculation that the "outliers" (incubation period > 14 days) are actually due to an unknown secondary exposure that was the actual start of the incubation period. I'm wondering if this person was actually exposed at Lackland due to lack of effective isolation from other patients.
That's because there are only 18 confirmed COVID-19 cases in Washington. 6 of 18 is 33%, or 1 in 3. By comparison, the death rate from influenza is less than 0.1% (1 in 1,000).
However, this is an overstated death rate for COVID-19, because we don't know (and probably never will know) the true infection rate. See my other comment for details.
As a Washington Pede here,,, stay safe everyone.... And wash your fucking hands too while you're reading this.
Damn you, I dropped my phone in the sink!!!
TL:DR:
As of Monday morning, there are 14 confirmed cases of coronavirus in King County, including five deaths, and four cases in Snohomish County, including one death.
Four of five deaths in King County have been linked to a nursing facility in Kirkland. Fifty people at the facility with symptoms are being tested for coronavirus.
Multiple schools are closed Monday for deep cleaning after potential coronavirus exposure.
I think it will be difficult to calculate an accurate death rate. For most healthy people, the symptoms are minimal and resemble the common cold. Some are even asymptomatic.
The only cases considered confirmed are those that are tested. I think it's even a two stage test: a field test and a lab test (at the CDC). Without the asymptomatic cases (some of which have been contagious) and the untested cases, the death rate will be artificially high.
I'm watching this closely because a family member with a pre-existing condition is vulnerable. Otherwise, my only concern is financial, as part of our retirement income is from investments.
New info from Texas:
A US citizen repatriated from Wuhan and quarantined at Lackland AFB (near San Antonio) tested negative twice, and was released after the 14-day quarantine period.
A third test detected a low-level Covid-19 infection, after the person had already been out in public (at a shopping mall). I don't know why the third test succeeded, while the others failed.... or why it was performed after he was released.
The person is back in quarantine. And, the people still at Lackland that were supposed to complete their 14-day quarantine today (I think they were from the cruise ship) are not being allowed to leave.
There has been speculation that the "outliers" (incubation period > 14 days) are actually due to an unknown secondary exposure that was the actual start of the incubation period. I'm wondering if this person was actually exposed at Lackland due to lack of effective isolation from other patients.
Not for the elderly or people with other existing ailments. There are two infected Seattle area nursing homes.
That's because there are only 18 confirmed COVID-19 cases in Washington. 6 of 18 is 33%, or 1 in 3. By comparison, the death rate from influenza is less than 0.1% (1 in 1,000).
However, this is an overstated death rate for COVID-19, because we don't know (and probably never will know) the true infection rate. See my other comment for details.
/yawn