I think it will be difficult to calculate an accurate death rate. For most healthy people, the symptoms are minimal and resemble the common cold. Some are even asymptomatic.
The only cases considered confirmed are those that are tested. I think it's even a two stage test: a field test and a lab test (at the CDC). Without the asymptomatic cases (some of which have been contagious) and the untested cases, the death rate will be artificially high.
I'm watching this closely because a family member with a pre-existing condition is vulnerable. Otherwise, my only concern is financial, as part of our retirement income is from investments.
A US citizen repatriated from Wuhan and quarantined at Lackland AFB (near San Antonio) tested negative twice, and was released after the 14-day quarantine period.
A third test detected a low-level Covid-19 infection, after the person had already been out in public (at a shopping mall). I don't know why the third test succeeded, while the others failed.... or why it was performed after he was released.
The person is back in quarantine. And, the people still at Lackland that were supposed to complete their 14-day quarantine today (I think they were from the cruise ship) are not being allowed to leave.
There has been speculation that the "outliers" (incubation period > 14 days) are actually due to an unknown secondary exposure that was the actual start of the incubation period. I'm wondering if this person was actually exposed at Lackland due to lack of effective isolation from other patients.
I think it will be difficult to calculate an accurate death rate. For most healthy people, the symptoms are minimal and resemble the common cold. Some are even asymptomatic.
The only cases considered confirmed are those that are tested. I think it's even a two stage test: a field test and a lab test (at the CDC). Without the asymptomatic cases (some of which have been contagious) and the untested cases, the death rate will be artificially high.
I'm watching this closely because a family member with a pre-existing condition is vulnerable. Otherwise, my only concern is financial, as part of our retirement income is from investments.
New info from Texas:
A US citizen repatriated from Wuhan and quarantined at Lackland AFB (near San Antonio) tested negative twice, and was released after the 14-day quarantine period.
A third test detected a low-level Covid-19 infection, after the person had already been out in public (at a shopping mall). I don't know why the third test succeeded, while the others failed.... or why it was performed after he was released.
The person is back in quarantine. And, the people still at Lackland that were supposed to complete their 14-day quarantine today (I think they were from the cruise ship) are not being allowed to leave.
There has been speculation that the "outliers" (incubation period > 14 days) are actually due to an unknown secondary exposure that was the actual start of the incubation period. I'm wondering if this person was actually exposed at Lackland due to lack of effective isolation from other patients.