So I've seen quite a few articles in the conservative media (Town Hall, Red State, Breitbart, etc.) about how the primary turnout for Trump has been higher (much higher in some cases) than 2016 or for previous incumbents, but what I have NOT seen is a comparison (state by state) of the primary votes for Trump vs. the Democrat candidates. (I'm aware that a few states, such as South Carolina are not holding Republican presidential primaries this year.) Have any of you seen the numbers?
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Thanks! This is perfect. And scary. I'm hoping the low Republican turnout (shame on them! killing the downballot!) is due to the lack of a viable challenger to Trump. Trump voters will have to step it up BIGLY in November!!
Why are you saying low turnout?
You have to compare apples to apples. Don't compare to 2016 when there was a serious contest in both parties, compare to the last time an incumbent was running largely unopposed - 2012, or for a Republican, 2004. Trump is breaking or tying all the incumbent records.
That's why you're reading stories about big GOP turnout. Dems aren't keeping up.
The numbers are easy to find, but here's something from before Super Tuesday.
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/2020-democratic-primary-turnout-problems-960784/
I'm comparing Republican turnout to Democrat turnout in this year's primaries, especially in red areas. Republicans are going to have to show up in much larger numbers in November and not assume Trump will win in a landslide. Democrats will try every dirty trick in the book to cheat their way into the White House, Senate, and House of Representatives, as well as state and local elections.
I agree they will cheat. But comparing primary raw numbers turnout between parties is comparing apples to oranges, unless both races are contested, as in 2016.
For example, GOP primary turnout in 2012 beat Obama's incumbent turnout all over the map, because the GOP primary was contested and the Dems' wasn't. Obama went on to win easily anyway.
I think the numbers look excellent so far.