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Block_Helen 6 points ago +6 / -0

Yeah, but those are just confirmed cases. An unknown (but probably large, given how infectious it is) number of people with corona don't know they have it, are never tested, and recover normally. So it's less than 2.9% for sure.

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trump2twenty20 0 points ago +1 / -1

It is probably less than 2.9%, or most likely yeah. Looking at South korea where they have done the most testing of any country, it shows a death rate of at least 0.7% though. That means it is 7 times more deadly than the common flu. And remember, with the common flu, there are just as many cases which go unreported and not counted as there are with corona, many people who have the flu just feel a bit feverish and carry on with their day

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Block_Helen 2 points ago +2 / -0

And remember, with the common flu, there are just as many cases which go unreported and not counted as there are with corona, many people who have the flu just feel a bit feverish and carry on with their day

This is true, which is why when you look at the flu death rate, it's based on estimated cases, not confirmed cases. Anytime you are only using confirmed cases you're going to get a higher mortality rate. Most flu cases are not confirmed.

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trump2twenty20 -1 points ago +1 / -2

Yeah, so you can compare the two then? Its most likely at least 5 times worse than the flu, south korea have tested 100s of thousands and they report a death rate 7 times higher than the flu. Unless there is way more unconfirmed cases than there are with the flu ...

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Block_Helen 3 points ago +3 / -0

We do not know the death rate for coronavirus. We only know the death rate from confirmed cases. We do not know how many people are getting it, recovering, and never knowing they had it. Therefore we cannot (yet) know the death rate. Maybe we'll get a better handle on it in the future.

The death rate from confirmed cases in places where the healthcare system is inadequate is even higher. Again, that is not necessarily due to the nature of the virus, it's likely due to the nature of the outbreak in that particular place/region.

We just don't know a whole lot yet. But because it is so infectious, the odds are high that a large number of people will have it and never know it, and will certainly never be tested.