Do you want an actual answer or are you just concern trolling?
The actual answer is that Italy's average age is 8 years older than the US. The average age of the people who died from coronavirus there was EIGHTY ONE. Most of them also had preexisting conditions.
H1N1 was estimated to have infected 21% of the global population. Infection rates of a virus where over 80% of those infected show only minor symptoms isn't exactly the end of the world. The actual mortality rate is estimated to be under 1% overall and if you factor out those advanced in age or with compromised immune systems, the mortality rate is right in line with the flu.
Obviously it wont be as bad as H1N1, but that doesn't mean it will be fine.
Yes the mortality rates are higher in Italy because the average age is higher, but even if you take the country with the most testing and lowest death rate South Korea, which has a death rate of 0.7%, it is worse than the flu given it has an average death rate of 0.1%. You have to remember it's a novel virus which we have not been exposed to before, the flu, although it varies each year, is not novel. We have some immunity to it.
Tell me, why will the US fare better than Denmark, Germany, France, Spain etc. In terms of spread and death rate? They all have massive community spread and their hospitals are running out of ICU beds. Tell me how often does the flu cause ICUs around the world to be overrun with 5 times the number of people in need than beds available?
A few weeks ago US was barely 100 cases. Now it's 1,000. It doubles each 7 days in most countries. How do we not understand this?
u/CovfefeAndDoughnuts/ care to explain why the US will not be the exact same as italy in a few weeks ?
Do you want an actual answer or are you just concern trolling?
The actual answer is that Italy's average age is 8 years older than the US. The average age of the people who died from coronavirus there was EIGHTY ONE. Most of them also had preexisting conditions.
H1N1 was estimated to have infected 21% of the global population. Infection rates of a virus where over 80% of those infected show only minor symptoms isn't exactly the end of the world. The actual mortality rate is estimated to be under 1% overall and if you factor out those advanced in age or with compromised immune systems, the mortality rate is right in line with the flu.
Obviously it wont be as bad as H1N1, but that doesn't mean it will be fine. Yes the mortality rates are higher in Italy because the average age is higher, but even if you take the country with the most testing and lowest death rate South Korea, which has a death rate of 0.7%, it is worse than the flu given it has an average death rate of 0.1%. You have to remember it's a novel virus which we have not been exposed to before, the flu, although it varies each year, is not novel. We have some immunity to it. Tell me, why will the US fare better than Denmark, Germany, France, Spain etc. In terms of spread and death rate? They all have massive community spread and their hospitals are running out of ICU beds. Tell me how often does the flu cause ICUs around the world to be overrun with 5 times the number of people in need than beds available?