This whole thing stinks to high heaven. At most so far 59 people have died, with most of them being in one nursing home in Kirkland WA. The media is fear mongering harder than ever to make orange man look bad. Schools and businesses are closing which is sure to send us into recession if not worse. Out of 330,000,000 people, 59 have died in the US and everything is screeching to a halt. Something isn't right here but it's fucking everything up. The economy was the best it's ever been in the history of our country and now everything is going to shit because of less than 100 deaths. More people probably die each year from skiing accidents. This is un fucking believable.
EDIT: I'm not saying this is a total hoax. I'm saying the media overreaction is making things way worse than they have to be. Panicking is never going to make anything better. If this is truly as bad as some of you are saying, I hope it justifies sending our economy into great depression 2 Corona boogaloo
That's right. We don't know the number of mild cases. I'm assuming there are 10 mild cases for every diagnosed case. That's why I think the actual rate of death is closer to <1% rather than the published 3%. If there are 100-1000 undiagnosed mild cases for every diagnosed case, then it would be equally as deadly as the flu.
edit: We do have the data set from a closed system, the Diamond Princess. Currently 7 deaths out of 696 with 233 still active cases. So the low range of the death rate is around 1%. If more of the 233 active cases die, the death rate will go up. As it's been a couple of weeks since infection, I'm suspecting all of the 233 active cases will survive.
However, that cruise ship is a very different environment. It is close quarters and contained. So I predict the death rate will be much lower as a percentage.
I agree. It should be much lower than 1%. Hopefully by an order of magnitude. But I don't conceive it being two orders of magnitude lower.