Yes that is what I counted up for yesterday; mainly big spikes by Italy and Spain. Surprisingly Norway and Switzerland already have very high infection rates per capita but their deaths are very low.
I'm tracking Italy to see if they can get to a topping out point; they are definitely a worst case scenario so it will be good to see them get on top of it. Their death rate is absolutely horrific (7-8% of cases) compared to other places (Korea is less than 1%) I definitely expect the US rate to get under 1% as well as we ramp up the testing.
This is where I'm torn. Earlier this week I was offering an O/U bet of US total deaths of 100 (I had no takers of course.) I think we'll definitely exceed that but by the same token, I think we will remain very low in deaths in large part because of the drastic actions being taken.
Europe is currently at 600+ daily deaths with sustained 15-20% daily growth. At what point will you take it seriously?
Source?
Europe's population: 741 million
Just for a little perspective while we're waiting.
This site is great for tracking: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
They reset their death count at 0:00 GMT
So you saw +600 deaths in Europe in the last 24 hours?
Yes that is what I counted up for yesterday; mainly big spikes by Italy and Spain. Surprisingly Norway and Switzerland already have very high infection rates per capita but their deaths are very low.
I'm tracking Italy to see if they can get to a topping out point; they are definitely a worst case scenario so it will be good to see them get on top of it. Their death rate is absolutely horrific (7-8% of cases) compared to other places (Korea is less than 1%) I definitely expect the US rate to get under 1% as well as we ramp up the testing.
This is where I'm torn. Earlier this week I was offering an O/U bet of US total deaths of 100 (I had no takers of course.) I think we'll definitely exceed that but by the same token, I think we will remain very low in deaths in large part because of the drastic actions being taken.
I heard that Lombardy region had no new cases today, not sure that is true. I expect Italy to peak soon.
Edit: sorry, I had that wrong. 300 fewer new cases today.