it's 5 months in UK because they don't have the medical capacity to handle the expected admissions. Socialized medicine to the rescue! Oh wait, you're fucked.
They feel the same for the US. They have a model for it as well. They are actually saying you have to suppress until a vaccine is found, or cases just spike up.
5 months suppression then lifting it put the spike in cases in November right at the election.
The Diamond Princess is another good experiment, showing that even among the elderly with 100% exposure, somewhere between 20% to 40% won't come down with it at all.
it's 5 months in UK because they don't have the medical capacity to handle the expected admissions. Socialized medicine to the rescue! Oh wait, you're fucked.
They feel the same for the US. They have a model for it as well. They are actually saying you have to suppress until a vaccine is found, or cases just spike up. 5 months suppression then lifting it put the spike in cases in November right at the election.
Here is a pic of the US chart- https://imgur.com/ugI9Xsy
The Diamond Princess is another good experiment, showing that even among the elderly with 100% exposure, somewhere between 20% to 40% won't come down with it at all.