Polls often lie. Current events may also affect the outcome of the election. With that out of the way, this poll vastly weighs in favor of heavy Democrat turnout, but they still have to give it to Trump by 1.2%
- Distribution 36D, 35R, 28 independent
- 2016 Turnout: 32D, 33R, 34 independent
With the adjusted historical turnout numbers and their demographic numbers, Trump leads by 2.2%.
But the real takeaways:
- Trump's support among Latino voters increased to 45% from 30%
- Support among Black voters increased to 16.7% from 10%
- College educated vote now in Trump's favor (YUGE?)
- Among Democrats, Trump is favored over Biden by 16.7% (YUGE! More than doubles the 8% D vote he received in 2016)
DON'T FORGET TO VOTE VOTE VOTE!!!
But also, I am ready for the Florida bloodbath. Source: https://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/bepi-polls-2020/biden-way-ahead-in-sunshine-state.php