No...I don't think a spike in flu deaths for ONE WEEK among the very elderly and/or immune compromised is worthy of a total nationwide 'lockdown'. If this flu was infecting/affecting normally health YOUNG and/or middle aged (i.e to 75) people MORE than the 'normal' flu, and WORSE, than the normal flu, then I'd agree. However I would have in place special protections for the at-risk groups; which would ALWAYS be in place--not just for this new seasonal flu strain.
This virus isnt a strain of the flu (influenza) it's a strain of SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome)
The deaths in the last week is not a spike though in the sense that a spike would decrease the period afterwards. It's an exponential curve so it will increase exponentially in the time period after if the situation stays the same. The deaths today in Italy was 627 which is higher than any other day so far.
Hopefully a lockdown of over 75s or over 60s would work as that wouldnt affect the economy as much. But if it just spreads wildly through the lower age group and they care for the elderly that might not work?
I'm guessing whooping cough is worse than SARS.; which is highly contagious, lethal for babies and for some affected adults, who with NORMAL immune systems, can suffer (I believe) a fatal asthma like attack after a coughing fit. Whooping cough is MUCH worse than this 'Covid-19'; which appears to leave young, very young and majority of adults unscathed. Yet no-one shutting down the world, or demanding mandatory vaccines, over Whooping Cough.
Sure, we need to quarantine the frail, the very old and immuno-suppressed and have extra precautions for those that are near/care for them because of Covid 19. But society should be doing that anyway--even with the 'normal FLU.. 'Locking down' the rest of the country is insane.
Need a lot more info to get things into context...i.e Italy around 53K confirmed cases yet about 5k dead--10pc. Yet U.S. about 23k confirmed cases and around 230 dead. So thats 10pc versus 1pc, SAME 'virus'---things don't add up, do they?
Theres a vaccine for whooping cough though... makes it a million times easier to contain than something without a vaccine
The death count in italy is not a "spike" as you said, it is an exponential growth.
There are 17k deaths due to flu PER YEAR in italy. If the Covid19 death count continues to increase at 15% (it most likely wont due to quarantine) per day in italy, the Covid19 death count will have surpassed the annual flu death count in 11 days time from now: 4,000(current deaths)×(1.15)^(11)=18,609
The rate of exponential growth will likely decrease due to the lockdown though.
That's not "media lies" it is basic maths of exponential growth using current death count and increase % per day.
At that rate, Italy covid19 deaths will have surpassed the yearly flu death count in only 1.5 months (first case 31st jamuary) and would still be increasing exponentially. This is again based on math, not MSM bullshit
No...I don't think a spike in flu deaths for ONE WEEK among the very elderly and/or immune compromised is worthy of a total nationwide 'lockdown'. If this flu was infecting/affecting normally health YOUNG and/or middle aged (i.e to 75) people MORE than the 'normal' flu, and WORSE, than the normal flu, then I'd agree. However I would have in place special protections for the at-risk groups; which would ALWAYS be in place--not just for this new seasonal flu strain.
This virus isnt a strain of the flu (influenza) it's a strain of SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome)
The deaths in the last week is not a spike though in the sense that a spike would decrease the period afterwards. It's an exponential curve so it will increase exponentially in the time period after if the situation stays the same. The deaths today in Italy was 627 which is higher than any other day so far.
Hopefully a lockdown of over 75s or over 60s would work as that wouldnt affect the economy as much. But if it just spreads wildly through the lower age group and they care for the elderly that might not work?
I'm guessing whooping cough is worse than SARS.; which is highly contagious, lethal for babies and for some affected adults, who with NORMAL immune systems, can suffer (I believe) a fatal asthma like attack after a coughing fit. Whooping cough is MUCH worse than this 'Covid-19'; which appears to leave young, very young and majority of adults unscathed. Yet no-one shutting down the world, or demanding mandatory vaccines, over Whooping Cough.
Sure, we need to quarantine the frail, the very old and immuno-suppressed and have extra precautions for those that are near/care for them because of Covid 19. But society should be doing that anyway--even with the 'normal FLU.. 'Locking down' the rest of the country is insane.
Italy increased death count by 793 today. That's 150 more deaths than yesterday..
Need a lot more info to get things into context...i.e Italy around 53K confirmed cases yet about 5k dead--10pc. Yet U.S. about 23k confirmed cases and around 230 dead. So thats 10pc versus 1pc, SAME 'virus'---things don't add up, do they?
Theres a vaccine for whooping cough though... makes it a million times easier to contain than something without a vaccine
The death count in italy is not a "spike" as you said, it is an exponential growth. There are 17k deaths due to flu PER YEAR in italy. If the Covid19 death count continues to increase at 15% (it most likely wont due to quarantine) per day in italy, the Covid19 death count will have surpassed the annual flu death count in 11 days time from now: 4,000(current deaths)×(1.15)^(11)=18,609 The rate of exponential growth will likely decrease due to the lockdown though.
That's not "media lies" it is basic maths of exponential growth using current death count and increase % per day.
At that rate, Italy covid19 deaths will have surpassed the yearly flu death count in only 1.5 months (first case 31st jamuary) and would still be increasing exponentially. This is again based on math, not MSM bullshit