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SD_Pede 3 points ago +9 / -6

You're reading this completely the wrong way.

Rough median might be 500,000 hospitalizations for the whole year in the entire U.S. That's roughly 40,000 per month in all 50 states combined.

Pence said yesterday 1 out of 1000 in New York City are infected. New York has 8 million people. That's 800,000 infected.

If 10% need hospitalization that's 80,000 people in just New York City who may require hospitalization or they'll die - all in the same month.

Now compare that to the 40,000 per month hospitalized by the flu in the entire U.S.

This is why Trump is building four 2000-bed hospitals in New York, and sending a Navy hospital ship to New York.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

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deleted 10 points ago +11 / -1
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Bonfire 2 points ago +2 / -0

I think it’s too early to call either way—you certainly can’t extrapolate from Chinese data as though it’s trustworthy. Italy is a better indicator, and those numbers are much worse.