This is all wrong. The report predicted 2M deaths if only mild “mitigation measures” were taken, like social distancing for the elderly. The same report said that if more drastic “suppression measures” were taken, like those that have actually been taken, then the deaths would be limited to the thousands. There is no “he was totally wrong.” The governments followed the advice in the report and now are seeing the predictions play out as expected.
Lol. Yeah, bullshit. The Brits let the virus run unchecked until two days ago. And big chunks of the country are ignoring the lockdown order. If it really is that easy to put the virus genie back in the bottle, then it isn't a very deadly virus.
If we were really looking at Spanish flu level death rates, new jersey alone should have 30,000 deaths, on the way to 60,000 total. so far NJ has less than 100.
How do you explain Italy, where coffins are piling up in parking lots and the death rate is ~1000/day? Is that just a normal flu? Anyway, I wasn’t making a point about the validity of the predictions, I was pointing out that the OP says the author of the report is recanting on his original predictions, but he is not doing that at all.
This is all wrong. The report predicted 2M deaths if only mild “mitigation measures” were taken, like social distancing for the elderly. The same report said that if more drastic “suppression measures” were taken, like those that have actually been taken, then the deaths would be limited to the thousands. There is no “he was totally wrong.” The governments followed the advice in the report and now are seeing the predictions play out as expected.
https://twitter.com/jeremycyoung/status/1239975682643357696?s=21
Lol. Yeah, bullshit. The Brits let the virus run unchecked until two days ago. And big chunks of the country are ignoring the lockdown order. If it really is that easy to put the virus genie back in the bottle, then it isn't a very deadly virus.
If we were really looking at Spanish flu level death rates, new jersey alone should have 30,000 deaths, on the way to 60,000 total. so far NJ has less than 100.
So kindly fuck off.
Been saying this for weeks. Thanks for taking the words right out of my mouth.
How do you explain Italy, where coffins are piling up in parking lots and the death rate is ~1000/day? Is that just a normal flu? Anyway, I wasn’t making a point about the validity of the predictions, I was pointing out that the OP says the author of the report is recanting on his original predictions, but he is not doing that at all.
SPEZ: UK is just a week or so behind France. About 3 weeks behind Italy. Just a few days behind the US. Let’s check in and see how things are going there in a few weeks. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-MdH022qBRottbaOV4qYKRHZ-rBC1Ozh/view?fbclid=IwAR27sSanGqVhl28ELCxghfH7AWTINyFzDfQVnLBgcgG_XM4OulT3nxFpYWI