Yep. He went from predicting 500,000 deaths in the UK to 20,000, more than half of whom he now says would have died by the end of the year anyway because are so old/sick. He also claimed there would not be enough ICU beds- now says the hospitals will be fine. Also, just last week thought 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary- now says it will peak and subside within 2 to 3 weeks. This is the guy whose work the media has constantly cited- fueling panic.
Weird how I, not a professional epidemiologist but just a lowly data analyst with access to publicly available historical data, was able to predict essentially the exact same thing way back when the professional worst case scenario imaginers was still saying we were all going to die.
These regularly occurring novel virus outbreaks barely move the needle on all-cause mortality because the majority of deaths are "stolen" from other causes. When more people die of virus A, fewer people die of viruses B through Z.
"Very soon too. Just 12 years. Excuse me, what's that? Why did I buy a $9 million home on the Atlantic coast if I think the world is going to flood due to global warming? What kind of racist question is that?"
Yep. He went from predicting 500,000 deaths in the UK to 20,000, more than half of whom he now says would have died by the end of the year anyway because are so old/sick. He also claimed there would not be enough ICU beds- now says the hospitals will be fine. Also, just last week thought 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary- now says it will peak and subside within 2 to 3 weeks. This is the guy whose work the media has constantly cited- fueling panic.
Weird how I, not a professional epidemiologist but just a lowly data analyst with access to publicly available historical data, was able to predict essentially the exact same thing way back when the professional worst case scenario imaginers was still saying we were all going to die.
These regularly occurring novel virus outbreaks barely move the needle on all-cause mortality because the majority of deaths are "stolen" from other causes. When more people die of virus A, fewer people die of viruses B through Z.
Okay this was one slight miscalculation but for real climate change gonna kill us all!!! (Unless you give government more money)
"Very soon too. Just 12 years. Excuse me, what's that? Why did I buy a $9 million home on the Atlantic coast if I think the world is going to flood due to global warming? What kind of racist question is that?"