Market crashed when demand dropped for oil. Oil crashed 30%. Stock markets followed.
Original report from Ferguson showed worst case scenarios if action wasn't taken.
Trump took action. Shut down travel from Europe almost immediately, and then the U.K.
Market was already in freefall. Infections were already starting in New York because de Blasio and Dems encouraged people to underestimate seriousness of the disease. They encourage people to go to Chinatown for Chinese New Years as a fuck you to Trump for the travel ban.
Now Ferguson is saying that with the new restrictions in place, the death toll in U.K. can be held to 20,000.
The market in the U.S. is going up again because Trump and Pence's 15 day plan is working. It's buying time to test hydroxychloroquine and keeping hospitals from being overwhelmed.
It's given Congress the certainty to pass the $2 trillion stimulus and re-open the country in two weeks - with hotspots like New York still being shut down.
The major players in the financial markets knew what was going to happen back in December and January. Do you really think multi-billion dollar banks like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs would lose billions of dollars based on some professor in the U.K.'s theory without running models themselves?
Or that Trump would go along with it without confirming the models himself with other experts? And using his own common sense?
What are your thoughts on China taking advantage of the situation (a weakened/distracted West)..
I've always wondered when China was going to instigate a major offensive and disguise it as 'From Russia w/ Love'... but this virus seems to accomplish more than any conventional offensive ever could., A real war would unite the West against the common enemy - but this very sudden problem and an all-too real [communist] solution pre-packaged and ready to go...
I have serious concerns (lol, not concern trolling!) about our ability to survive this unless we All realize what is happening. Covid-19 isn't as much of a threat as the impending police-state that Trump might not be able to keep control of. I trust in God, and Trump, and myself... but the driver in me knows you can't control everyone else on the road, you can only react and expect them to do what they're indicating. Lots of idiots out there trying to turn this into forever change. (Microsoft, Soros+, people like Trudeau and the others.. Deepstate/WHO/China+..)
If this is truly a man made virus test run where they were simply testing the infectious incubation period with just flu symptoms then a real deployment sounds scary.
Yeah people are reacting wrongly to this report. The updated 20k toll is based on policy and enforcement changes that were made, not on incorrect modeling. The original report even said that these measures would likely be necessary for up to 2 months then the concentration of the virus would have dropped low enough to relax the restrictions. Then they said it may become necessary after another month to increase restrictions again as the virus spreads and so on until a vaccine is developed. If the Chloraquine cocktail is proven an effective treatment and better tests are developed and people get tested before they see symptoms, restrictions may not need to be ramped back up because the effective treatment and testing will take their place.
Sauce:
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2238578-uk-has-enough-intensive-care-units-for-coronavirus-expert-predicts/
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
This post is exact opposite of what happened.
Market crashed when demand dropped for oil. Oil crashed 30%. Stock markets followed.
Original report from Ferguson showed worst case scenarios if action wasn't taken.
Trump took action. Shut down travel from Europe almost immediately, and then the U.K.
Market was already in freefall. Infections were already starting in New York because de Blasio and Dems encouraged people to underestimate seriousness of the disease. They encourage people to go to Chinatown for Chinese New Years as a fuck you to Trump for the travel ban.
Now Ferguson is saying that with the new restrictions in place, the death toll in U.K. can be held to 20,000.
The market in the U.S. is going up again because Trump and Pence's 15 day plan is working. It's buying time to test hydroxychloroquine and keeping hospitals from being overwhelmed.
It's given Congress the certainty to pass the $2 trillion stimulus and re-open the country in two weeks - with hotspots like New York still being shut down.
The major players in the financial markets knew what was going to happen back in December and January. Do you really think multi-billion dollar banks like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs would lose billions of dollars based on some professor in the U.K.'s theory without running models themselves?
Or that Trump would go along with it without confirming the models himself with other experts? And using his own common sense?
Think.
What are your thoughts on China taking advantage of the situation (a weakened/distracted West)..
I've always wondered when China was going to instigate a major offensive and disguise it as 'From Russia w/ Love'... but this virus seems to accomplish more than any conventional offensive ever could., A real war would unite the West against the common enemy - but this very sudden problem and an all-too real [communist] solution pre-packaged and ready to go...
I have serious concerns (lol, not concern trolling!) about our ability to survive this unless we All realize what is happening. Covid-19 isn't as much of a threat as the impending police-state that Trump might not be able to keep control of. I trust in God, and Trump, and myself... but the driver in me knows you can't control everyone else on the road, you can only react and expect them to do what they're indicating. Lots of idiots out there trying to turn this into forever change. (Microsoft, Soros+, people like Trudeau and the others.. Deepstate/WHO/China+..)
If this is truly a man made virus test run where they were simply testing the infectious incubation period with just flu symptoms then a real deployment sounds scary.
Yeah people are reacting wrongly to this report. The updated 20k toll is based on policy and enforcement changes that were made, not on incorrect modeling. The original report even said that these measures would likely be necessary for up to 2 months then the concentration of the virus would have dropped low enough to relax the restrictions. Then they said it may become necessary after another month to increase restrictions again as the virus spreads and so on until a vaccine is developed. If the Chloraquine cocktail is proven an effective treatment and better tests are developed and people get tested before they see symptoms, restrictions may not need to be ramped back up because the effective treatment and testing will take their place.
Exactly! Thank you for saving me the time. These forecast changes are absolutely based on the actions taken.