Ferguson posted an explanation on Twitter. The model didn’t change, the variables going into the model did. The model was set up to show Britain’s CURRENT state of no containment or lockdown, which is why the death toll was so high. It was the worst-case scenario, which was the path Britain was taking at the time.
However the new numbers are because of the updated plan with social distancing and lockdown. He wasn’t “wrong” about anything. The model was simply updated with current data.
In other words people are pushing this as if it was a farce, but in reality it’s displaying how our containment efforts will help stop the spread of the disease.
Our side is slowly succumbing to fake news, because for some reason the only thing some people can see here is conspiracy, instead of a friggin global pandemic.
He actually did admit they were wrong about how much the virus has spread, which is huge. That was one of the key reasons a competing Oxford study predicting much less risk,
Ferguson posted an explanation on Twitter. The model didn’t change, the variables going into the model did. The model was set up to show Britain’s CURRENT state of no containment or lockdown, which is why the death toll was so high. It was the worst-case scenario, which was the path Britain was taking at the time.
However the new numbers are because of the updated plan with social distancing and lockdown. He wasn’t “wrong” about anything. The model was simply updated with current data.
In other words people are pushing this as if it was a farce, but in reality it’s displaying how our containment efforts will help stop the spread of the disease.
Our side is slowly succumbing to fake news, because for some reason the only thing some people can see here is conspiracy, instead of a friggin global pandemic.
He actually did admit they were wrong about how much the virus has spread, which is huge. That was one of the key reasons a competing Oxford study predicting much less risk,
https://www.dailywire.com/news/oxford-epidemiologist-heres-why-that-doomsday-model-is-likely-way-off