It was +12 last year. Since December, they have been using a weighted +18 to now +20 Democrat.
Their internal numbers are so bad that they KNOW they are about to get obliterated.
Anecdote.
My brother lives in Indiana and his neighbor has been a HUGE Democrat supporter for years. He works for the party during elections and is a senior organizer in his part of the state. He was telling my brother that they can't get 20 Democrats to show up to any event or volunteer organizing meetings, which normally have several hundred in attendance. When my brother asked him why, he answered, "I help organize because it's like a hobby for me, but I know the Democrats are going to be destroyed because even I'm going to vote for Trump. This is my last year doing this, and I doubt I will ever help organize again unless the party stops this socialist garbage and returns to where I am."
When my brother pointed out that is highly unlikely, he said "Then I guess I will become a Republican. I don't like some of the things they support, but they aren't trying to turn us into Venezuela."
Take it for what it's worth, but I have heard the same thing from other people I talk to online or in gaming chats from across the US. These people usually don't even notice politics or vote, but they are ALL talking about this election.
"+12"?
It was +12 last year. Since December, they have been using a weighted +18 to now +20 Democrat.
Their internal numbers are so bad that they KNOW they are about to get obliterated.
Anecdote.
My brother lives in Indiana and his neighbor has been a HUGE Democrat supporter for years. He works for the party during elections and is a senior organizer in his part of the state. He was telling my brother that they can't get 20 Democrats to show up to any event or volunteer organizing meetings, which normally have several hundred in attendance. When my brother asked him why, he answered, "I help organize because it's like a hobby for me, but I know the Democrats are going to be destroyed because even I'm going to vote for Trump. This is my last year doing this, and I doubt I will ever help organize again unless the party stops this socialist garbage and returns to where I am."
When my brother pointed out that is highly unlikely, he said "Then I guess I will become a Republican. I don't like some of the things they support, but they aren't trying to turn us into Venezuela."
Take it for what it's worth, but I have heard the same thing from other people I talk to online or in gaming chats from across the US. These people usually don't even notice politics or vote, but they are ALL talking about this election.
Thank you for giving us some insight, I also see that here.
My anecdote.
I personally know 7 people that did not vote for Trump in 2016 that plan too in 2020. Including my wife and myself.
Now we all live in a state that is called red as soon as the polls close but it still shows the same trend I hear everywhere.