You said peak will hit in 2 wks.

We think it will hit. We don't know that. Can we share how bad it will be so Amer people will be prepared for it.

Dr. Birx. We have gr8 concerns when you look at Chris Murray model where he shows rapid escalation the people we're losing every day just like cases & starting to lose people at same rate. We have deep concerns. Calls with permissions. We have a different pop than Italy or Spain. Docs & nurses getting back really quickly so they can talk to each other so we can combat this. We're seeing what has not been reported in other countries. Docs & nurses are writing to us. Cardio disease & others. IN model there's a large confidence interval 80,000-160,000 maybe 200,000 that's with mitigation. In that model with full assumption doing what we're doing & even better with level of intensity becuz we're hoping the models aren't completely right. Scientists across country given freely of their time. Make sure Amer public understands. Young people impacted here our pop is 8-9 yrs younger. Children young people adults. We don't want to lose any Amer. At a minimum we have to continue but even better to every metro area. We have to insure we're protecting each other.

Dr. Fauci. At risk of offending models are good but models generate the ? you ask how bad could it get. Models are as good as assumptions & based on complexities of these issues. When you give a model you have best & worst extreme. Often worst is you don't do anything let it rip & let it go. Go to low end mitigate to utmost. What I like to do is not ignore models but look at data as it's evolving & do everything you can to mitigate. Reason Pres made announcement about going to end of April we don't want to make sure that we prematurely think we're doing so gr8. Take that with you & be less anxious.