I have been watching this closely, and it seems they just keep moving the goal post or "lengthening" the curve to show a slower growth but still showing it going up to a supposed horrible peak some time in the distant future.
Its like there could be 10 deaths/day for an entire week and they would still predict 100 deaths a day in say two weeks or three weeks. What really happened on the west coast is this thing hit January/February. Here in Oregon the E-rooms were full and ventilators were at capacity late February. Elderly relatives got bounced around E-rooms several times to find a ventilator system (they survived fortunately).
Because of this we are actually already on the tail end of the infection despite the increasing testing availability showing an increase (actually flat at this point).
I have been watching this closely, and it seems they just keep moving the goal post or "lengthening" the curve to show a slower growth but still showing it going up to a supposed horrible peak some time in the distant future.
Its like there could be 10 deaths/day for an entire week and they would still predict 100 deaths a day in say two weeks or three weeks. What really happened on the west coast is this thing hit January/February. Here in Oregon the E-rooms were full and ventilators were at capacity late February. Elderly relatives got bounced around E-rooms several times to find a ventilator system (they survived fortunately).
Because of this we are actually already on the tail end of the infection despite the increasing testing availability showing an increase (actually flat at this point).
I think the thesis that this virus has been here on the west coast for a while is legit.