200,000 "dead" is irrational speculation.
5,000 supposed CoVID19 dead ÷ 30 = 166
200,000 ÷ 166 = 1,204 days
Alternatively...
200,000 ÷ 60 (peak) days = 3,333 dead/day
7,700 regular dead/day + 3,333 = 11,033/day
Nope.
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Underpromise overdeliver.
I don't want to defend the guy, but they likely are overestimating on purpose so the actual number doesn't totally overshoot their estimate.
Fine but if reality is far below it does make one wonder. How do we know all these confirmed cases are indeed confirmed for example? Not really doubting but is it wrong to ask?
Thats the same thing I am wondering. I remember reading something yesterday which was talking about how China Flu deaths are being recorded if a person dies with China Flu, rather than dies FROM China Flu. They used to have to prove that there was a reasonable way for a disease to have caused a person's death. Nowadays some deaths are probably purely coincidental. It only serves to inflate the numbers.
Same criteria as regular flus. Blame what you find instead of underlying causes.
A poor diet for decades leading to obesity, diabetes and heart disease, but it was a virus that killed.
You really need to learn exponential math dude.
Here’s a simple one, take a regular chessboard that has 64 squares. On the first square, set one grain of rice, and then double it on each sequential square (2 on the second, 4 on the third, etc).
If you were to carry this out to the 64th square, you would have 18,446,744,073,709,551,615 grains of rice on it.
But we only had four grains by the third square? Yeah, exponential math. That’s why we’re taking the chance of nearly destroying our economy, and hopefully recovering, so a shitload of people don’t die.
A lot of us won't have a home or food soon so fuck right off. The data is there and you lazy police state wanting cock suckers are killing America