200,000 "dead" is irrational speculation.
5,000 supposed CoVID19 dead ÷ 30 = 166
200,000 ÷ 166 = 1,204 days
Alternatively...
200,000 ÷ 60 (peak) days = 3,333 dead/day
7,700 regular dead/day + 3,333 = 11,033/day
Nope.
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You really need to learn exponential math dude.
Here’s a simple one, take a regular chessboard that has 64 squares. On the first square, set one grain of rice, and then double it on each sequential square (2 on the second, 4 on the third, etc).
If you were to carry this out to the 64th square, you would have 18,446,744,073,709,551,615 grains of rice on it.
But we only had four grains by the third square? Yeah, exponential math. That’s why we’re taking the chance of nearly destroying our economy, and hopefully recovering, so a shitload of people don’t die.