According to the official projections, there are supposed to be 19,946 covid-19 deaths by next Friday. So let's round it up and say 20,000 even by Friday April, 10th. As of today the figure is about 6,900 with about half the cases in NY/NJ.
Mark down in the comments whether you are taking the over or under.
I am taking the under.
I'll also say, that if this "surge" does not materialize as forecast within the next 2 weeks, Trump will be forced to make reccomendations to open things up quicker.
Because, one thing is for sure, last week's unemployment claims figure of 6 million, implies that April would be looking at 20 million plus additional claims.
EDIT
We'll use the Worldometer for the official total: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
I don’t have any social media other than this
Even here there are a lot of fearmongers.
You're a wise man. I'm almost there too.