2038 Scott Adams on Twitter: "Calculate the #Coronavirus risk of death for a 35-year old American, non-smoker, average weight, no known underlying health problems, practicing social distancing, wearing a facemask, commuting to work alone. Why can't that person go back to work?" (twitter.com) posted 1 year ago by Patriotwings 1 year ago by Patriotwings +2038 / -0 187 comments share 187 comments share save hide report block hide child comments Comments (187) sorted by: top new old worst You're viewing a single comment thread. View all comments, or full comment thread. ▲ 2 ▼ – WiseDonkey 2 points 1 year ago +2 / -0 Nitpicking, but going from 0.2% to 0.3% is a 50% increase, not a 150% increase. permalink save report block reply ▲ 4 ▼ – DisgustedByMisleadia 4 points 1 year ago +4 / -0 It's additive. If your chance of dying this year was already 0.2%, and you add a new condition that has a risk of 0.3%, your risk is now 0.5%. It won't be exact, because there is some overlap. permalink parent save report block reply ▲ 4 ▼ – WiseDonkey 4 points 1 year ago +4 / -0 You're right. My brain totally failed. permalink parent save report block reply ▲ 2 ▼ – DisgustedByMisleadia 2 points 1 year ago +3 / -1 Nah, I probably should have been more clear about that. permalink parent save report block reply ▲ 0 ▼ – Niggie-McGee 0 points 1 year ago +1 / -1 No, it’s less than .5, .3 percent of people infected die, not everyone will get infected, and the .3 is an overestimate due to not capturing all benign cases of the Chinese disease permalink parent save report block reply ▲ 3 ▼ – deleted 3 points 1 year ago +3 / -0
Nitpicking, but going from 0.2% to 0.3% is a 50% increase, not a 150% increase.
It's additive.
If your chance of dying this year was already 0.2%, and you add a new condition that has a risk of 0.3%, your risk is now 0.5%.
It won't be exact, because there is some overlap.
You're right. My brain totally failed.
Nah, I probably should have been more clear about that.
No, it’s less than .5, .3 percent of people infected die, not everyone will get infected, and the .3 is an overestimate due to not capturing all benign cases of the Chinese disease