LOOK AT THEIR MODELS. 1M TO 100,000 TO 55,000 TO < 20,000. THE FUCKING FLU KILLS 50,000 A YEAR! FUCKING BULLSHIT !
(i.maga.host)
🐂 Bullshit 💩
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The IHME model never predicted 1M deaths. The first version on 3/26 predicted a median of 81,114 deaths (over the entire US), with a range of 38K - 162K.
Don't confuse this model with other ones.
Ummmm.....or maybe because it’s been here since November? 🤷🏿
Yes it did.
The IMHE MODEL IS BASED ON THE IMPERIAL COLLEGE MODEL
No, it's not. They did this independently.
Dr. Birx even said that they reviewed 12 different models and set them all aside to build their own model, using the same methodology they built HIV, TB, and malaria models.
However, they were unaware the IHME was doing the same. They ended up with the same results.
This is false. They projected median 95k deaths until they updated that projection yesterday/today. At that point they were suggesting 262k beds and now we are at projected 140k.
Max death projection at that point was 240k as well.
I cited the first set of results, from 3/26.
http://www.healthdata.org/research-article/forecasting-covid-19-impact-hospital-bed-days-icu-days-ventilator-days-and-deaths
I wasn't able to quickly find which version you are citing. But, you can find all the updates here:
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
Scroll down to the bottom of the page, and you'll find links for the 3/30, 3/31, 4/1, and 4/2 summaries. The 4/5 summary is the button just above the archive links.
I’m not even seeing a result for 3/26 there. 3/30 is the earliest
This main page is where I’ve been checking manually for days: https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
And this is where it went from 94k to 80k yesterday to today. Even April 1st still says 94k.
Edit: the 3/26 projection published page just links to the current data.
You have to follow the first link I provided for the first results. It's effectively a news release. Or, you can read the actual pre-print article linked from that news article:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.27.20043752v1
The predictions have varying with each release, and this shouldn't be a surprise. But contrary to the OP's title, it never predicted 1M deaths, even nationwide.