I've been maintaining spreadsheets for a while now taking daily numbers from available sites, doing analysis, etc.
While recoveries are building up quite quickly its not to the same rate as the infected numbers. Now, I'm not actually implying this is to shield the truth. I can understand the testing priority of someone that is thought to be infected over completing the formal clearance stds for the cdc.
However it is obvious that published recovery numbers are lagging way behind. Cuomo made the statement yesterday that over 2/3 of patients admitted to hospitals in NY have been released. That's the biggest hotspot in the nation. Over 2/3. He stated this.
As the quicker tests become the standard and as the multi day test are worked out of the system the turn around time drops dramatically.
But we are loosing around 420,000,000$ a week in economic activity not including investment losses, over slow information.
We need Kudlow or Navarro w/ access to Pres. to prioritize clearance testing. Clearance testing destroys the doomsday narrative once and for all.
I imagine no one follows up on people once they go home to self quarantine. All numbers that are two weeks old should move to recovered column if they have not died.
Let me ask you about the number of people recovered. I've been following this closely and crunching numbers too. I've been using worldometers.info. Their breakdowns by State do not support their total they show for people recovered from the whole US.
This is beyond fishy to me. By State, they show total cases, deaths, and active cases. The difference will be people who recovered; simple math.
What source(s) do you use for people recovered?
I have been basing everything on the worldometers data. Covidtracking site has some data also but every stated does not report the same statistics.
Louisiana actually has some very good reporting. And by the way Louisiana has never run out of hospital beds or ventilators according their own data.
New York produces some NYC only stats. But its all over the place. One thing their stats show is that out of 1000 or so deaths there will be 25 or less w/ no underlying health conditions.
But worldomoters is the only summary that is consistenly updated that I have used.
A week from now I believe much of the delayed reporting will have been cleared. But my feeling now is this thing is dropping like a rock.
They are not "lagging", if you get the virus and are in a hospital, you might recover after 2-3 weeks, but people who do die, die quickly within 2-3 days.
There are many of the long turn around test still in use. Also, the requirement to be cleared requires two negative test w/in a 24 hour period. So when the test results come back the person may have recovered days ago. So yes there is a natural lag. There is also priority given to the newly sick, as it should be. But it adds to the recovered lag.
The point is more have recovered by large factor that is being reported.