Yeah, prediction models, if you can understand English, does not imply "100% certain that x will be the result".
Hurricane predictions certainly are subject to change as data emerges to alter the model.
It's like getting mad because you invest a lot of money in a hot stock that is forecast to give you a high return, but 3 years later the company goes under and you lose your shirt. Or yelling at the weather guy because he forecasts 70 and sunny on Saturday, but 3 days later it is now 50 and rain.
We could have 30 million unemployed by the end of the month and no telling how many small businesses destroyed for good. The official number is currently 16.6 million unemployed, though the real number is undoubtedly higher, perhaps 20 million or so, given almost all the states are unable to process the numbers they're seeing and in some instances people have been trying for days to file with no luck. Not to mention all the self-employed and gig workers who can't get unemployment. The Imperial and IHME models, which we now know definitively were horseshit, drove public policy and have led to this. And before you try to credit the lockdown for working and being why the Bill Gates funded IHME was wrong, the IHME model factored that in and still wildly overestimated the impact on hospitals. There were other experts and other models saying different things- but the media and Fauci kept relying on IHME, the "gold standard" model, to formulate public policy. It was a disastrous decision. So yeah, you can and should be mad when something is relied on that results in the destruction of the economy- why wasn't Fauci listening to the people at Yale or Stanford who were saying something far different?
So what exactly did he say?
Yeah, prediction models, if you can understand English, does not imply "100% certain that x will be the result".
Hurricane predictions certainly are subject to change as data emerges to alter the model.
It's like getting mad because you invest a lot of money in a hot stock that is forecast to give you a high return, but 3 years later the company goes under and you lose your shirt. Or yelling at the weather guy because he forecasts 70 and sunny on Saturday, but 3 days later it is now 50 and rain.
We could have 30 million unemployed by the end of the month and no telling how many small businesses destroyed for good. The official number is currently 16.6 million unemployed, though the real number is undoubtedly higher, perhaps 20 million or so, given almost all the states are unable to process the numbers they're seeing and in some instances people have been trying for days to file with no luck. Not to mention all the self-employed and gig workers who can't get unemployment. The Imperial and IHME models, which we now know definitively were horseshit, drove public policy and have led to this. And before you try to credit the lockdown for working and being why the Bill Gates funded IHME was wrong, the IHME model factored that in and still wildly overestimated the impact on hospitals. There were other experts and other models saying different things- but the media and Fauci kept relying on IHME, the "gold standard" model, to formulate public policy. It was a disastrous decision. So yeah, you can and should be mad when something is relied on that results in the destruction of the economy- why wasn't Fauci listening to the people at Yale or Stanford who were saying something far different?